TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f1f…0b36

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
349
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: MLB, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 60 out of 100; worst UFC at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT9444.7%42 W · 52 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.6
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$56
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Flyers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+63.9%+$39
Blue Jackets vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+63.9%+$39
Flames vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$145
Bruins vs. Sharksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Devils vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Kraken vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Oilers vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$69
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Blues vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST7339.7%29 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$56.35
Will Jalen Hurts win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34.68
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$76.5
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Spread: Texans (-1.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+78.6%+$66
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Will the Carolina Panthers win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+452.5%+$122.85
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$28.3
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13.79
Will the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$103.39
Will the Chicago Bears make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$263.64
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$124.7
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$32.37
Spread: Bears (-7.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
Spread: Bills (-1.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Bears vs. Packers: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$85.5
Steelers vs. Ravens: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Titans vs. Browns: O/U 33.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+104.1%+$76.5
Commanders vs. Vikingsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Lions (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT6836.8%25 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47.89
Morocco leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.91
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT3751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Kosice: Dali Blanch vs Sandro Koppbacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.59
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$45
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$37
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$45.5
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+150%+$60
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$36
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+138.1%+$57.99
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+233.3%+$70
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$29.45
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Open de Moselle: Matteo Berrettini vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Open de Moselle: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$24
Open de Moselle: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$24.75
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublikbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$41.6
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$84.8
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Georgia win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$51.73
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Spread: Indiana (-28.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+104.1%+$43.35
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Oklahoma vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$52.5
Indiana vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball Statebacked Ball State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+56.9%+$41.96
Georgia Tech vs. NC Statebacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$23.6
Washington State vs. Oregon Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.69
Georgia vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$22
Army vs. Air Forcebacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$39.2
Spread: Missouri State (-3.5)backed Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$13
Florida International vs. Missouri Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)backed James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$22
Spread: James Madison (-7.5)backed James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$19.25
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+176.2%+$95.7
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.49
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
Nets vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$52
76ers vs. Bullsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.4
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.16
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$33.75
Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$60
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+66.7%+$48
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$53
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$36
UFC 322: Vieira vs. Nickal (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+42.9%+$37.8
UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+56.3%+$36
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+65.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$28.2
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$42
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$20.9
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.29
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+209.6%+$41.97
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+203%+$71.06
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+117.4%+$27
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$39.6
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$23
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+206%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$10.4
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.