TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. 76ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,285,894
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,406,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,285,894 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 899 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Celtics52c711,066$367,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343,852.3115443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed 76ers50c301,993$150,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150,943.7636148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed 76ers48c245,054$116,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116,873.8120253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked 76ers42c130,493$54,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,834.2685742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…1556backed 76ers35c125,040$44,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,338.135646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed 76ers47c98,442$46,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,658.828843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed 76ers49c80,000$39,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,50051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Celtics50c75,364$37,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,486.671,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x154c…ce5ebacked Celtics50c65,600$32,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,6541833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Celtics51c60,000$30,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,399.9538248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Celtics58c48,247$27,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,431.1514856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Celtics52c47,102$24,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,608.962365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed 76ers50c41,855$21,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,022.27739%30 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c81…e258backed Celtics47c40,000$18,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,199.941872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+45.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked 76ers53c34,677$18,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,272.1871052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Celtics47c24,378$11,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,996.832,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed 76ers57c22,400$12,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,791.994050%20 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked 76ers48c20,672$9,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,909.186253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed 76ers49c20,000$9,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,70034645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc10…3f05backed Celtics47c20,000$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,599.989650%48 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Celtics42c19,388$8,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,319.274748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Celtics65c17,042$11,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,922.4626038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics68c15,370$10,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,901.651,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Celtics52c15,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20017658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Celtics60c14,554$8,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,891.2847144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Celtics75c14,303$10,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,601.9347448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Celtics50c14,094$7,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,077.3269852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Celtics73c13,549$9,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,658.1352460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked 76ers1c12,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12529810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Celtics68c12,039$8,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,808.6319249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Celtics52c11,495$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,494.554766%31 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed 76ers47c11,111$5,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,222.1715952.2%83 W · 76 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18e0…175cbacked 76ers47c10,543$4,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,955714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-70.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers50c10,516$5,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,223.679,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc153…6c8bbacked 76ers50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed 76ers47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed 76ers23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30012529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e9f…7d7fbacked 76ers43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,30020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics70c9,271$6,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,735.258,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f89…d508backed 76ers54c9,267$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed 76ers50c9,138$4,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,569.0682442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics52c8,800$4,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2241,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed 76ers54c8,219$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,400.4148944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed 76ers50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00016942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a3…e3a5backed Celtics52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked 76ers53c7,777$4,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,121.817748.1%37 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers48c7,759$3,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,733.152,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed 76ers29c7,603$2,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,205.611,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed 76ers48c7,500$3,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6253237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe887…05cabacked 76ers50c7,150$3,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5751040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c8…fed1backed Celtics79c7,000$5,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.993748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed 76ers45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70018142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed 76ers22c5,993$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.597149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed 76ers17c5,841$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked 76ers52c5,275$2,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,725.524048.3%116 W · 124 L-13.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Celtics49c5,248$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,678.0335235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked 76ers24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20016446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef4…32a1backed Celtics48c5,000$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,624.9910041%41 W · 59 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 76ers23c4,982$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.942,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked 76ers11c4,749$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53827041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed 76ers10c4,166$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9239018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x349e…1654backed Celtics79c4,005$3,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.4810431.7%33 W · 71 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed 76ers46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8402240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Celtics52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed 76ers50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41bc…c75bbacked 76ers50c3,883$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc93…8afbbacked Celtics52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.151471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+81.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9794…1d5fbacked 76ers55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked 76ers47c3,500$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6455556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed 76ers48c3,500$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f6…48f3backed 76ers59c3,461$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0426256.5%35 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed 76ers18c3,405$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.281,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed 76ers38c3,322$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Celtics48c3,134$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.892,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fdd…5feabacked 76ers48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked 76ers20c3,027$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.6881529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed 76ers47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41018047.8%86 W · 94 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Celtics48c2,976$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.6144459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed 76ers51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50029037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86a3…33dbbacked 76ers47c2,800$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3164045%18 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Celtics49c2,605$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.9930053.3%160 W · 140 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Celtics47c2,570$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.341,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed 76ers24c2,476$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.338036.3%29 W · 51 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x06e3…cda8backed Celtics76c2,446$1,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Celtics47c2,427$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.387245.8%33 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad6d…f064backed 76ers49c2,229$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cb1…b9f4backed 76ers49c2,184$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Celtics62c2,177$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.2938151.2%195 W · 186 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a8…6dfdbacked 76ers33c2,148$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70016325.2%41 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a39…6588backed 76ers49c2,143$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e5…c473backed Celtics52c2,100$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed 76ers43c2,100$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.9943247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30df…a425backed Celtics52c2,058$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.69616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ba1…7086backed 76ers49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked 76ers54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08020453.9%110 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked 76ers49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98010852.8%57 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e58…f73bbacked 76ers50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005740.4%23 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed 76ers48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96076850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed 76ers55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.984951%25 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed 76ers51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.