NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb543b3d28271b1a3c99a03d9a50a309ba1c4d97c70599bfa5428b63e0761d661
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof 76ers, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Celtics | 55c | 22,700$12,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,105.19 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked 76ers | 46c | 12,763$5,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,870.96 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 54c | 11,842$6,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,471.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed 76ers | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Celtics | 51c | 9,920$5,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,861.6 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked 76ers | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked 76ers | 49c | 3,559$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.78 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked 76ers | 44c | 3,500$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Celtics | 54c | 2,113$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.91 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa216…179bbacked 76ers | 49c | 1,741$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.85 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed 76ers | 44c | 1,524$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.11 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5caabacked 76ers | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed 76ers | 50c | 1,195$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.58 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9673…9482backed Celtics | 51c | 1,151$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed 76ers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Celtics | 54c | 977$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.42 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…f825backed 76ers | 46c | 977$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2d…4c45backed Celtics | 51c | 944$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…384dbacked Celtics | 51c | 903$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a0…5b83backed 76ers | 49c | 864$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f6…f970backed Celtics | 51c | 863$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe678…4c0cbacked Celtics | 51c | 862$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…cd2fbacked 76ers | 49c | 861$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…f732backed 76ers | 49c | 721$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Celtics | 49c | 645.78$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.35 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5381…f063backed 76ers | 49c | 642$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85eb…53d4backed Celtics | 53c | 624$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…d7cabacked 76ers | 49c | 569$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…b7efbacked Celtics | 51c | 568$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…d45dbacked Celtics | 51c | 567$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2c…3770backed 76ers | 49c | 566$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed 76ers | 49c | 559.18$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…6793backed 76ers | 49c | 546$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fce…e9afbacked 76ers | 49c | 430$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 54c | 405.26$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…4d26backed Celtics | 53c | 387$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…bd57backed 76ers | 49c | 357$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec9…6287backed 76ers | 49c | 302$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…21e9backed Celtics | 53c | 217$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f10…854fbacked Celtics | 53c | 152$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2791backed 76ers | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb22…ce57backed Celtics | 55c | 143.64$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed 76ers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…b997backed Celtics | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…c632backed 76ers | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed 76ers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked 76ers | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked 76ers | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked 76ers | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…b8a8backed 76ers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…3183backed Celtics | 55c | 19.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)this page
- Celtics vs. 76ersCeltics won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.