NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a7e0e0752ca4cac4d3544d44f1f191945592e83e0a2e085220d1ba0f7ab7103
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 50c | 70,804$35,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,402.11 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 50c | 48,748$24,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,306.34 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed Over | 51c | 41,723$21,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,119.93 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 33,104$16,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,653.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Over | 50c | 30,272$15,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,134.59 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 21,063$10,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,531.61 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Under | 50c | 12,471$6,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,233.12 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 49c | 10,379$5,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,343.31 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…fed1backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 51c | 9,118$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,467.64 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Over | 51c | 7,156$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.56 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 52c | 6,655$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.97 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Over | 50c | 5,872$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.19 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 50c | 4,954$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.87 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 1,988$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.17 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…cd2fbacked Under | 50c | 1,423$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d5…0cafbacked Over | 48c | 1,350$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 1,310$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.2 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc7…53a3backed Under | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 50c | 1,230$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…8397backed Under | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…88efbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Under | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.35 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe678…4c0cbacked Over | 50c | 824$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a0…5b83backed Under | 50c | 791$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f6…f970backed Over | 50c | 790$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…b7efbacked Over | 50c | 789$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2c…3770backed Under | 50c | 788$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…9ad7backed Under | 52c | 710$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf103…1b74backed Over | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…31dcbacked Over | 48c | 680$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…8275backed Under | 52c | 670$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Under | 52c | 576.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 50c | 569$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.5 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 49c | 555$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.2 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 442$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Under | 50c | 335.4$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.7 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Over | 45c | 335.36$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.13 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 312$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.64 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…d7cabacked Under | 50c | 223$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Under | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 89 | 70.8%63 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Under | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ad57backed Under | 50c | 174$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Under | 50c | 158.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2791backed Under | 49c | 149.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…7319backed Under | 52c | 146.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Under | 46c | 126.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab4…c91bbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0407backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…06f9backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +5.1wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +91%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9f…c1a4backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 59.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…03efbacked Over | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…3f2cbacked Over | 50c | 41.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…ab1cbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…1f92backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…8893backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc1…f197backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5this page
- Celtics vs. 76ersCeltics won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.