TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x661e…81d6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
636
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT29856.4%168 W · 130 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 298 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.64
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.17
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.2
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.5
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+300%+$45.75
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+160.5%+$50.54
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+168.5%+$50.2
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15
LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$27.58
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$38.3
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$61.08
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$36.52
LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked MIBR.LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.6
LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.9
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.7
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.14
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$46.61
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$79.89
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$49
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.29
Showing 25 of 298 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT15759.9%94 W · 63 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 157 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.25
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.15
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.24
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.73
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$74.4
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.96
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.97
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$52.3
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$22.64
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$25.99
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$26.59
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.48
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.07
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$19.95
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$39.04
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$36.54
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$35.19
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$27.41
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$38.32
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.36
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.61
Showing 25 of 157 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST4022.5%9 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$40.71
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+31.4%+$80.69
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+251.4%+$159.53
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$78.83
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$55.67
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$22.58
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+130.2%+$128.55
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$91.59
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$38.3
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+419.1%+$195.18
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+1,150%+$184
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12.43
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$49.5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11.94
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$36.65
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+900%+$270
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST3164.5%20 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$138
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+132.6%+$228
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Spread: Lions (-10.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$124
Giants vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+81.8%+$126.82
Vikings vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+76.8%+$23.03
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$72.06
Spread: Lions (-8.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+112.8%+$101.49
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+71.6%+$103.1
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$92.37
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$88
Cowboys vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Royval (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Charrière vs. Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$98.77
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$600
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$471
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
UFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cejudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
UFC 323: Ziam vs. Sadykhov (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Sadykhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$68
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Orolbai (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Gaziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$65
UFC Fight Night: Horiguchi vs. Ulanbekov (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Ulanbekov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Almabayev (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+78.6%+$99
Makhachev Parlay - Islam Wins Submission & Fight Lasts Over 2.5 Roundsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$235.41
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+66.7%+$45.33
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$32.31
Dern vs. Jandirobabacked Jandiroba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Park vs. Aliskerovbacked Aliskerov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$85.7
Klein vs. Rebeckibacked Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$29.62
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.7%+$40.45
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+66.2%+$165.5
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$194
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+138.1%+$165.71
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$236.26
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$163.54
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+184.9%+$342.77
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$37
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+50.1%+$50.14
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+54.8%+$54.77
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.5
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Cbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+142.6%+$234.95
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$26.11
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+30.8%+$68.27
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$42.83
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+35.1%+$20.73
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$132
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+52.2%+$61.88
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$27
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.22
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.69
Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$127.71
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$17.81
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$22.81
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+166.6%+$273.22
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$422.9
OpenAI browser by October 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$901Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+85.9%+$774.32
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100.01
Will Powell say "Weakening" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+138.1%+$42.69
Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$91
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+163.2%+$60.36
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+150%+$120
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Powell say "Recession" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+28.6%+$20
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.33
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-73%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-72.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$118.64
Kansas vs. Arizonabacked Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Houston vs. UCFbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+104.1%+$70.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+306.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.75
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+713%+$219.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$108.15
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$121.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$46.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Daybacked Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$41.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$38.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T-Mobile US (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$212.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$109.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Sydney Sixers (Game Qualifier 1)backed Sydney Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$176
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$117
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.