Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e0d8164e90ec5dc6e23bc050adda7ca174023acf7d28e9afe8b0765da08b382

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 4, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $483,944
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $472,963

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $483,944 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 478 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x471a…0328backed No	78c	11,824$9,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,185.44	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	30c	8,916$2,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,250.73	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d8…79fabacked Yes	71c	7,028$5,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,026.61	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc304…97b4backed No	11c	7,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed No	32c	6,954$2,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,235.1	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes	21c	6,500$1,390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,109.99	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed No	5c	6,369$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.62	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9241…f41cbacked No	79c	6,328$5,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000.66	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x156d…957dbacked Yes	26c	5,175$1,346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,829.64	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	28c	5,108$1,408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,700.35	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdfd…9a92backed Yes	47c	4,833$2,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,566.59	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked No	70c	4,594$3,226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,225.54	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40a…0615backed No	69c	4,539$3,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,119.01	50	18%9 W · 41 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	1c	4,130$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.98	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	78c	4,110$3,224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885.8	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	10c	4,000$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,599.99	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6503…09f6backed Yes	13c	3,650$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,158	89	23.6%21 W · 68 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	35c	3,437$1,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,217.3	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	55c	3,273$1,808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,807.52	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cde…b42abacked Yes	12c	3,000$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,640	85	8.2%7 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77ef…9f6abacked No	20c	2,471$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.77	25	28%7 W · 18 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	19cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99fd…9028backed Yes	14c	2,400$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,072	121	12.4%15 W · 106 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	18c	2,074$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,707.45	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed No	29c	2,049$586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	25c	2,049$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,540.56	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x08bf…8b4dbacked Yes	14c	2,000$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,730	38	5.3%2 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	24c	1,985$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.35	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes	32c	1,912$617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,294.42	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	37c	1,866$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.78	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x879f…8417backed Yes	43c	1,833$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,042.18	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	14c	1,741$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,499.12	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	57c	1,552$889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$889.47	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed No	44c	1,488$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.13	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b62…ad6cbacked Yes	26c	1,446$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,071.29	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	14c	1,313$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,123.4	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2f7…55dcbacked Yes	59c	1,299$767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532.04	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	24c	1,288$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$975.11	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a44…021cbacked Yes	17c	1,221$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,016.38	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…56b9backed Yes	21c	1,183$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$934.92	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0102…32afbacked Yes	61c	1,169$718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.75	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+62.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7dd…6a2cbacked Yes	76c	1,162$885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.5	131	26.7%35 W · 96 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74a2…2ab4backed Yes	19c	1,035$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$835.13	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed No	4c	1,021$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.48	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed No	16c	1,000$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	103	25.2%26 W · 77 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90c…0d37backed Yes	72c	1,000$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	16c	1,000$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$845	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9e…fa03backed Yes	24c	1,000$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760.73	58	27.6%16 W · 42 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c4f…61ccbacked Yes	56c	1,000$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65d8…3aebbacked Yes	41c	1,000$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$590	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x423b…86c1backed Yes	15c	999.99$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$849.99	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No	13c	971.95$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.8	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	27c	967.17$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705.83	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb73…8890backed Yes	21c	955.56$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$755.56	30	10%3 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafbb…7525backed Yes	16c	940.7$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$790.78	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes	36c	930.37$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$596.12	70	11.4%8 W · 62 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	34c	905.36$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$601.75	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52e4…7d32backed Yes	19c	905.26$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$733.26	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8f…a1dcbacked Yes	24c	897.4$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$682.38	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes	74c	892.21$661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.5	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8c6…5b8bbacked Yes	37c	891.34$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.79	112	21.4%24 W · 88 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcbb…9355backed Yes	18c	880.89$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$721.33	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d5b…a718backed Yes	57c	849$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.84	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b4…efc6backed Yes	58c	828.13$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.31	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	72cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab47…2d6dbacked Yes	27c	818.34$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$598.34	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Yes	21c	804.78$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$634.68	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f9…e502backed Yes	77c	792.03$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.28	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a97…4866backed Yes	62c	757.88$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.88	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a84…a46bbacked Yes	40c	750.18$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.59	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf2c…8c84backed Yes	24c	722$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	26c	706.38$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.76	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd43e…b2c0backed Yes	45c	670.2$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366.09	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471e…b99abacked Yes	17c	625.99$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522.57	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	19c	617.32$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$498.85	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4948…2a26backed Yes	47c	613.42$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.34	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-66%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.24	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes	17c	586.63$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.63	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f54…93d5backed Yes	16c	584.32$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490.07	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e55…e157backed Yes	22c	580.26$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.65	75	24%18 W · 57 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Yes	35c	577.8$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.8	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	18c	561.93$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.93	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x664b…28e2backed Yes	70c	550$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.5	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fc2…7d65backed Yes	16c	544.8$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460.23	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	31c	535$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.2	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x084f…8b8ebacked Yes	62c	533.01$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.54	33	63.6%21 W · 12 L	+4.2wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a29…729ebacked Yes	19c	529.99$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.3	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc76…f087backed Yes	29c	523.66$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.45	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d8…e6afbacked Yes	13c	515.67$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.67	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.37per pick	13cpaid	+296.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	29c	515.41$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.42	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47ea…6083backed Yes	48c	511.34$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.34	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa724…06c4backed Yes	69c	503.14$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.7	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	22c	500$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca12…ea03backed Yes	18c	500$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+2.7wins	+0.14per pick	17cpaid	+195.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4fc…a861backed Yes	18c	500$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	18cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93c6…90d0backed Yes	20c	500$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+67%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf43…b321backed Yes	61c	500$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3a3…eaabbacked Yes	20c	500$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	18c	500$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe29…b07ebacked Yes	16c	496.29$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.53	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Yes	74c	489.04$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.58	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc79a…e0a4backed Yes	21c	486.95$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.95	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event