TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc76…f087

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
222
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT5453.7%29 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Phantom (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10backed Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.68
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs The Last Resort (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Bbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$42.5
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.97
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Lavked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.78
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$103.63
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs 33 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$423.88
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$167.29
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$367.73
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs 9INE (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+62%+$501.85
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Bbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+29.8%+$46.15
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+47.8%+$215.53
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Prison Breakers (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Playoffsbacked Prison Breakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$535.59
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Cbacked los kogutos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+58.6%+$198.51
Counter-Strike: CyberDynamo vs Team CS2NEWS (BO3)backed CyberDynamo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+60.8%+$425.37
Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3)backed Sangal ALTERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,730
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team buster (BO3)backed Team buster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$883Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+47.2%+$416.76
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team buster - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team buster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: 33 vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$493.65
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs CyberDynamo (BO3)backed CyberDynamo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,415.36
Counter-Strike: 33 vs SPARTA (BO3)backed 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,271Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+34.8%+$790.71
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 Winnerbacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+43.3%+$319.04
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne (BO3)backed Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort (BO3)backed MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,107.66
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort - Map 1 Winnerbacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$70.51
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,249Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+48.7%+$608.76
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT4555.6%25 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffsbacked Zena Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.05
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$52.28
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+47.1%+$118.04
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+67.3%+$126.56
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+56.3%+$152.75
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$270.71
LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$403.55
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+194.1%+$637.91
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+54.2%+$181.9
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$641Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+80.4%+$515.58
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+34.8%+$115.92
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$375.47
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+114.1%+$1,825.83
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$550
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$891Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+28.5%+$254.03
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+69.5%+$283.6
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$723.05
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+66.7%+$683.03
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,706Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,705.88
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+46.9%+$327.25
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$625.99
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,054
LoL: Oh My God vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$909Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+71.1%+$646.29
LoL: LNG Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$164.52
LoL: LNG Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT3666.7%24 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.73
Dota 2: BALU vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked summer bear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$67.34
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.56
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$97.94
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$319
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs strongboys (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffsbacked strongboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+71.2%+$187.92
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+70.4%+$118.98
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Cbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$136.97
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+74.9%+$58.74
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Cbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$433.07
Dota 2: AVULUS vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+43.1%+$193.36
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kalmychata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,501Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$673.22
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,045.46
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Yellow Submarine (BO3)backed Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,659Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$2,659
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+42.5%+$552.41
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,483Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+91.8%+$1,360.55
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+203%+$507.58
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+68.4%+$460.16
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+38.2%+$146.35
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$801Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$800.67
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,380
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+75.4%+$515.12
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+63.8%+$223.39
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+39.1%+$293.28
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,455Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,454.77
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.44
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$106.69
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.38
Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$512.19
Valorant: VARREL vs Global Esports (BO3)backed Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+45.1%+$45.07
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Gen.G Esports (BO1)backed Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+38.8%+$407.33
Valorant: DRX vs SLT - Map 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50.61
Valorant: DRX vs SLT (BO3)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$327
Valorant: DRX vs SLT - Map 1 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Valorant: T1 vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+28.2%+$50.21
Valorant: Fnatic vs FULL SENSE (BO3)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+43.7%+$87.32
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$107.26
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+69.5%+$53.81
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+36.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$614
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+66.7%+$126
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$758.76
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,023Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$1,139.03
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+38%+$1,138.94
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+78.6%+$275
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+203%+$361.88
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+49.3%+$108.11
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+58.7%+$97.76
Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+86.4%+$259.18
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+50.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+463.2%+$1,384.95
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+91.1%+$1,042.05
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$230.23
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+100.9%+$781.16
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+59.4%+$104.55
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$166.72
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Leeds United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-45.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+61.5%+$384
Spread: Chargers (-13.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$163.66
Spread: Seahawks (-11.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$128.81
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$374.73
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$313.78
All 6 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,505Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+52.5%+$790.28
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+58.7%+$252.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Army (-7.5)backed Connecticut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$776.6
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolinabacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+101%+$505.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+534.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+534.2%+$218.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+112.8%+$18.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty Flames vs. Florida International Golden Panthersbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+45.7%+$114.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dundee United FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+45.4%+$290.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$771.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$180.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 4+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NYMEX Crude Oil Futures (WTI) (CL=F) Up or Down on November 3?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.