Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafc4991ca03faa5b4662fa27f83f1ea229e7745330021c7d99ca1ed80b3d686b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof Nigma Galaxy, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 55c | 10,793$5,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,805.72 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Nigma Galaxy | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 5,215$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.38 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed PlayTime | 75c | 2,756$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.45 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 2,500$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.67 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PlayTime | 64c | 2,164$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.11 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked PlayTime | 64c | 2,000$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.96 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 1,798$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.6 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,787$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.61 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,693$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.05 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,650$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,534$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.92 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed PlayTime | 54c | 1,476$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.82 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 1,425$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.51 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,402$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.82 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PlayTime | 48c | 1,400$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.99 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked PlayTime | 51c | 1,278$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.65 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 1,192$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…6d62backed PlayTime | 50c | 1,174$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.71 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 1,124$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.35 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked PlayTime | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed PlayTime | 51c | 952.33$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.26 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PlayTime | 58c | 946.06$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.07 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked PlayTime | 50c | 901.35$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.49 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 878.62$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.9 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…299cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 862.41$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 844.35$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 799.97$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…3203backed PlayTime | 52c | 719.89$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.56 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 715.36$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.68 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…bac9backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 713.12$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 661.44$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 649.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PlayTime | 67c | 628.3$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.18 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 601.15$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.55 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed PlayTime | 66c | 557.14$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.48 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 537.1$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.67 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked PlayTime | 77c | 529$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.67 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 521.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked PlayTime | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked PlayTime | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…9bb9backed PlayTime | 61c | 490.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.63 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed PlayTime | 58c | 490.53$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.37 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed PlayTime | 62c | 484.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.13 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PlayTime | 59c | 480$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 467.04$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.84 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked PlayTime | 77c | 455.42$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.57 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 451.54$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.32 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed PlayTime | 53c | 433.95$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.57 | 135 | 51.9%70 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 432.72$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.19 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked PlayTime | 68c | 372.94$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.68 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed PlayTime | 53c | 356.2$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.41 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked PlayTime | 49c | 338.46$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 162 | 43.2%70 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed PlayTime | 70c | 322.81$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed PlayTime | 64c | 306.49$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.74 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nigma Galaxy | 4c | 301.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed PlayTime | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…6c57backed PlayTime | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 74c | 273.34$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed PlayTime | 65c | 269.23$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed PlayTime | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 246.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed PlayTime | 55c | 243.84$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.84 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 226.93$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed PlayTime | 48c | 200.2$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.37 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed PlayTime | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked PlayTime | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f3…1cc4backed PlayTime | 50c | 199$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed PlayTime | 52c | 198.02$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.05 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed PlayTime | 56c | 179.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…5415backed PlayTime | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Nigma Galaxy | 9c | 177.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed PlayTime | 49c | 170$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 164.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 163.73$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9513…1f70backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 161.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.77 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…83b3backed PlayTime | 65c | 154.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…6c0cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 153.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 152$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PlayTime | 64c | 129.59$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…fe90backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 125.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…4f23backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 125$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked PlayTime | 71c | 123.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked PlayTime | 71c | 121.52$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…2dc1backed PlayTime | 48c | 119$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked PlayTime | 59c | 116.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed PlayTime | 49c | 112$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked PlayTime | 58c | 109.79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked PlayTime | 58c | 106.65$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eab…5ceabacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 103.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked PlayTime | 53c | 101.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked PlayTime | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerPlayTime won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.