TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe56b…2c03

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
321
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10938.5%42 W · 67 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$659.99
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$933.87
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$91.93
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$980
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$635
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.99
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$709.99
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)backed UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5)backed G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.99
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)backed Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$465
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$240.43
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+122.4%+$605.49
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.5
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$550.04
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.3
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.51
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$337.5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$807Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+39%+$314.94
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT9341.9%39 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.53
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5)backed Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.5
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$253
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.22
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.24
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5)backed Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.09
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$355.56
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$281.54
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$192.5
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$350
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.19
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.9
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$125.71
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$146.25
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$130
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT7247.2%34 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+339.2%+$436.51
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.63
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$221.99
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.82
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$836.24
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$493.65
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$595.83
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$461.76
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$604.39
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$255.56
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$630
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-78.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.8
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$290.82
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$76
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.56
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.91
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,238.73
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.11
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+167.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+239.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$464.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.