Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf33e2c0ac232b2b0de276c9e1a7d1e7a80452589202144dc509b1dd57bb8b834
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $985,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,159,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $985,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 557 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Liquid | 60c | 329,692$196,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196,458.48 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 44c | 92,378$41,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,378.09 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Aurora | 40c | 62,853$25,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,823.04 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora | 42c | 44,444$18,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,777.52 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Liquid | 59c | 31,547$18,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,587.84 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 39c | 24,870$9,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,170.95 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,200 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Aurora | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,199.96 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Aurora | 43c | 19,494$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,093.82 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Aurora | 41c | 16,797$6,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,852.26 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Aurora | 74c | 15,278$11,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,968.69 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Team Liquid | 61c | 13,000$7,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,929.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 11,837$6,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,475.31 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 41c | 11,067$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,567.07 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Aurora | 41c | 11,062$4,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,495.63 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 11,000$5,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,390 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Aurora | 40c | 10,853$4,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,461.97 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 55c | 10,641$5,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,826.33 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…75d9backed Aurora | 50c | 10,603$5,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,310.62 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Liquid | 62c | 10,247$6,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,353 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Aurora | 47c | 10,212$4,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,405.69 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Aurora | 41c | 10,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,950 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid | 48c | 9,902$4,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.27 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid | 50c | 9,625$4,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,812.27 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid | 55c | 9,122$4,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,972.57 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 40c | 9,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.97 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Liquid | 55c | 8,900$4,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,924 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Liquid | 60c | 8,000$4,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,774.31 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Aurora | 37c | 7,215$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,539.19 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Aurora | 48c | 7,103$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,697.93 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd472…a5b2backed Aurora | 35c | 7,068$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,563.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Aurora | 39c | 6,466$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,946.01 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Aurora | 40c | 6,329$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,774.89 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 48c | 5,656$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,932.55 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 5,490$3,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.96 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Team Liquid | 49c | 5,412$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.86 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Liquid | 65c | 5,126$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 36c | 5,105$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.28 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Aurora | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.98 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed Aurora | 42c | 5,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.98 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Team Liquid | 18c | 4,984$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.67 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Team Liquid | 60c | 4,805$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Team Liquid | 62c | 4,673$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Aurora | 40c | 4,670$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.27 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Aurora | 40c | 4,454$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.01 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Aurora | 40c | 4,366$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.39 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Liquid | 60c | 4,267$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.2 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Team Liquid | 61c | 4,191$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.83 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Liquid | 51c | 3,958$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.12 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Aurora | 42c | 3,746$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.82 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Liquid | 62c | 3,724$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.14 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Aurora | 39c | 3,699$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.09 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Aurora | 38c | 3,500$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Liquid | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora | 53c | 3,449$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.91 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Aurora | 38c | 3,439$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.07 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Aurora | 38c | 3,326$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.07 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed Aurora | 41c | 3,309$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Aurora | 34c | 3,256$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.8 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 3,006$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.48 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Aurora | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.99 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 49c | 2,881$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.02 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Aurora | 49c | 2,850$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.13 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Liquid | 60c | 2,666$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.6 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Aurora | 38c | 2,659$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.25 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Aurora | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Aurora | 41c | 2,544$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.21 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Aurora | 43c | 2,511$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.5 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…e8abbacked Aurora | 52c | 2,492$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 2,340$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.34 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 49c | 2,292$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.11 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Aurora | 33c | 2,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.98 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Aurora | 64c | 2,199$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.63 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Aurora | 74c | 2,164$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.93 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 2,159$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.98 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Aurora | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.86 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed Aurora | 51c | 2,105$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.1 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 47c | 2,067$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.61 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Aurora | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Aurora | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Team Liquid | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora | 38c | 1,973$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.23 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Team Liquid | 5c | 1,962$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed Team Liquid | 53c | 1,937$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.9 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora | 46c | 1,900$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c9…29e5backed Team Liquid | 52c | 1,812$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.93 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Aurora | 45c | 1,737$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.59 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Aurora | 41c | 1,659$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Liquid | 45c | 1,655$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.15 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 1,650$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.99 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Aurora | 36c | 1,590$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.29 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Team Liquid | 56c | 1,576$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.56 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Aurora | 67c | 1,381$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.87 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Aurora | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.18 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Liquid | 75c | 1,336$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 1,327$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.39 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…e867backed Aurora | 39c | 1,325$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.64 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Aurora | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.