TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xef62…cf76

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
461
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT43344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 433 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,101.21
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$443.33
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$3,797.47
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$5,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,470.18
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,023Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$1,829.1
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$2,296.59
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,727Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,727
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16,802Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$8,427.76
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Level UP - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,999Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$915.75
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,001.43
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,401Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+462.2%+$11,096.75
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$542.52
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.57
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,480
Dota 2: Level UP vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,770.44
Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,962Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,962.11
Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.12
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.67
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.09
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$20.24
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Poor Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$499
Showing 25 of 433 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.35
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+220.3%+$4,781.14
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+236.9%+$4,973.87
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$157.31
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+140.9%+$162.31
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.47
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Jean Matsumoto vs. Bekzat Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Bekzat Almakhan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,917Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,917
UFC Fight Night: Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Tahir Abdullayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.71
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ding Meng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$816.88
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Juan Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,499Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$2,489.33
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,486Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+106%+$2,633.92
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brando Pericic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,884Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$869.91
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Aljamain Sterling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,530Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+32%+$810.45
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD - Game 3 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$900
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,742Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,742
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Torpedobacked Torpedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$86.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Celticsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: TYLOO vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Ranking Matchesbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.