CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5de6251f2a4a9c97c0900aad5ff58f0149224735eb63e3c2416dd6dc24399f48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked TheMongolz | 71c | 43,033$30,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,454.51 | 757 | 58.3%441 W · 316 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz | 73c | 13,063$9,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,554.51 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed magic | 28c | 11,554$3,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,235.12 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked magic | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed magic | 28c | 6,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed magic | 31c | 5,197$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.06 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed magic | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked magic | 31c | 4,668$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.44 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed magic | 29c | 4,511$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.33 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed magic | 31c | 4,079$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.66 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed magic | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked magic | 31c | 3,446$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.14 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed magic | 30c | 3,064$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.31 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed magic | 28c | 2,338$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.02 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed magic | 28c | 2,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 967 | 40.7%394 W · 573 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed magic | 17c | 1,614$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.26 | 1,083 | 54.2%587 W · 496 L | +39.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…980abacked magic | 29c | 1,600$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked magic | 29c | 1,524$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed magic | 29c | 1,507$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.99 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed TheMongolz | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed magic | 31c | 1,372$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.59 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed TheMongolz | 70c | 1,300$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed magic | 32c | 1,270$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.08 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked magic | 30c | 1,067$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 633 | 41.9%265 W · 368 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed TheMongolz | 71c | 1,052$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.07 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked magic | 30c | 1,009$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.7 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed magic | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed TheMongolz | 68c | 902.11$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.19 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed magic | 30c | 793.14$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.94 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed magic | 29c | 750$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 532 | 44.9%239 W · 293 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed TheMongolz | 71c | 654.19$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.43 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed magic | 5c | 604.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked TheMongolz | 69c | 602$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.64 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed TheMongolz | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed magic | 30c | 571.22$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.19 | 805 | 42.2%340 W · 465 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked TheMongolz | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…b0cabacked TheMongolz | 71c | 547.89$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.89 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed magic | 8c | 530$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 1,277 | 21.9%280 W · 997 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked magic | 25c | 476.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.21 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed TheMongolz | 67c | 465$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.45 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed magic | 22c | 462.8$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…bb7ebacked magic | 6c | 459.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked TheMongolz | 72c | 454.82$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.35 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked magic | 28c | 347.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed magic | 31c | 324.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…7800backed TheMongolz | 73c | 314.71$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed magic | 14c | 299.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed magic | 18c | 298.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.33 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ff…6431backed TheMongolz | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 231 | 65.8%152 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…cedcbacked TheMongolz | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked TheMongolz | 72c | 273.7$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked magic | 30c | 248.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…afccbacked TheMongolz | 70c | 246.65$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed TheMongolz | 66c | 226.06$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TheMongolz | 69c | 212.93$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed TheMongolz | 71c | 210.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a7…9548backed TheMongolz | 68c | 197.07$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed magic | 30c | 190$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 508 | 46.9%238 W · 270 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed magic | 27c | 175$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked magic | 30c | 173.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 2,603 | 52.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…a265backed TheMongolz | 71c | 154.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed TheMongolz | 74c | 149.52$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked magic | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked TheMongolz | 75c | 141.32$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked TheMongolz | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked magic | 32c | 139.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked TheMongolz | 68c | 137.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked magic | 18c | 122$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed magic | 17c | 119.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked magic | 18c | 115.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1,643 | 32.8%539 W · 1,104 L | -48.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…52d2backed TheMongolz | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…c150backed TheMongolz | 71c | 105.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed magic | 24c | 103.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…cfa7backed TheMongolz | 72c | 101$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked magic | 24c | 100.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked magic | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed TheMongolz | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked magic | 28c | 90.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked TheMongolz | 72c | 90.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed TheMongolz | 69c | 88.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed TheMongolz | 70c | 84.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…b574backed magic | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked magic | 15c | 82.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed magic | 24c | 79.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 71c | 75.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked TheMongolz | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…8f0fbacked magic | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ba…34aabacked TheMongolz | 72c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…13adbacked TheMongolz | 70c | 68.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked magic | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…80b5backed magic | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed magic | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed TheMongolz | 65c | 53.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz | 74c | 50.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed magic | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…01e6backed TheMongolz | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…6fb4backed magic | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -17.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc322…d113backed TheMongolz | 71c | 46.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…a552backed TheMongolz | 69c | 45.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed TheMongolz | 70c | 45.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.