TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe549…ea83

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
384
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT32561.2%199 W · 126 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 325 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$20.46
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.55
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$30.79
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$28.3
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$22.38
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs JiJieHao (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$32
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$22.21
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+278.1%+$50.06
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$88.47
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18.33
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$66.76
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$30.8
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+55%+$30.23
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs JiJieHao - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.29
Showing 25 of 325 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Suns (-11.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.69
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+63%+$10.71
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$12.07
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+51.5%+$18.03
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$10.87
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+42.4%+$11.86
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$17.07
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$9.05
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Sebastian Korda vs Martin Landalucebacked Sebastian Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Chile Open, Qualification: Vilius Gaubas vs Alex Barrenabacked Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Rotterdam Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+39.1%+$30.12
Open de Moselle, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Moez Echarguibacked Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+110.5%+$25.4
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Victoria Mbokobacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Chennai Open: Arina Rodionova vs Joanna Garlandbacked Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Himeno Sakatsume vs Maya Jointbacked Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$14.63
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Anastasija Sevastova vs Maya Jointbacked Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Jaume Munarbacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$12.33
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.41
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Avalanche vs. Panthersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Predators vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+122.2%+$20.78
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+53.8%+$9.15
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Kings vs. Starsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Lightning vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+112.8%+$30.45
All 10 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+85.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$93.42
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahcebacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+298%+$68.54
Partizan vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.52
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Virtus Bologna vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 5 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-67.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Missouri vs. Vanderbiltbacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
South Florida vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.68
SMU Mustangs vs. Wake Forestbacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$45.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$46
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+62.4%+$15.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+91.2%+$10.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgetown Hoyas vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+37%+$11.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will “KPop Demon Hunters” be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.