NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacc96546870be8da79b9c17afc0e4a56da8d80c5aacf0632f5ce6b7a8ed66dd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Lightning, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $593,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $591,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $593,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Lightning | 57c | 100,000$56,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,500 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Islanders | 48c | 82,833$39,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,315.9 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Islanders | 44c | 79,680$35,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,369.53 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Lightning | 53c | 75,803$40,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,160.88 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Islanders | 43c | 65,697$28,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,558.74 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Islanders | 47c | 51,510$24,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,300.39 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Lightning | 47c | 30,000$13,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,950 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Islanders | 57c | 28,947$16,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,354.46 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lightning | 52c | 24,900$12,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,948 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Lightning | 53c | 21,877$11,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,594.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lightning | 55c | 21,092$11,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,645.16 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Lightning | 54c | 20,376$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Lightning | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lightning | 54c | 15,239$8,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,291.13 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Islanders | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Islanders | 46c | 14,369$6,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,759.18 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Islanders | 45c | 14,278$6,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,852.64 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Lightning | 58c | 12,711$7,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,363 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Lightning | 55c | 11,200$6,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,160 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lightning | 52c | 9,408$4,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,892 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Islanders | 48c | 9,357$4,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,865.51 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0566…9b36backed Lightning | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,769.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Islanders | 47c | 8,500$3,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,505 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Lightning | 53c | 7,642$4,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,048.17 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Islanders | 43c | 7,033$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,979.57 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Lightning | 52c | 6,993$3,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,636.22 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Islanders | 45c | 6,425$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,561.79 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lightning | 55c | 6,000$3,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,275 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Islanders | 42c | 5,600$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Islanders | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Islanders | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Lightning | 55c | 4,326$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.46 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lightning | 53c | 4,238$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.25 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Islanders | 42c | 4,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.97 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lightning | 52c | 3,788$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.76 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Lightning | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Islanders | 47c | 3,640$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.2 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Lightning | 56c | 3,401$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.58 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Islanders | 43c | 3,333$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.81 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lightning | 48c | 3,146$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.89 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Lightning | 54c | 2,889$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Lightning | 56c | 2,817$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.01 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lightning | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Lightning | 56c | 2,587$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.49 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Islanders | 46c | 2,564$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.95 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Lightning | 54c | 2,500$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lightning | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.99 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lightning | 54c | 2,217$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.34 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Islanders | 47c | 2,140$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.19 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Lightning | 55c | 2,000$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Lightning | 53c | 1,993$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.09 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lightning | 54c | 1,907$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.38 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Islanders | 43c | 1,898$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.85 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Islanders | 40c | 1,881$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.27 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Lightning | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Lightning | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Islanders | 52c | 1,808$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.42 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lightning | 53c | 1,711$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.44 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lightning | 1c | 1,666$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Islanders | 57c | 1,613$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.78 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…b6d8backed Islanders | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Lightning | 54c | 1,594$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.99 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Lightning | 57c | 1,579$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lightning | 25c | 1,500$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.57 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2218…5ba2backed Islanders | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d5…3df2backed Islanders | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…52c1backed Islanders | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…709fbacked Lightning | 57c | 1,363$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lightning | 55c | 1,362$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.05 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3021…3b3dbacked Islanders | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Islanders | 42c | 1,258$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.77 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Islanders | 42c | 1,258$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.77 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Islanders | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…7facbacked Islanders | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Islanders | 48c | 1,193$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.95 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lightning | 53c | 1,158$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.9 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Islanders | 38c | 1,098$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.21 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…d5dfbacked Lightning | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…838fbacked Islanders | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Islanders | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.29 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Lightning | 54c | 1,036$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.34 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Lightning | 48c | 1,031$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Lightning | 56c | 1,022$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.32 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Lightning | 29c | 1,009$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.6 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lightning | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Lightning | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…f1eabacked Islanders | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831c…f4eabacked Lightning | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Islanders | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…b3adbacked Islanders | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Lightning | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders | 69c | 924.27$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.03 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Lightning | 54c | 900$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.88 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8692…f1bcbacked Islanders | 47c | 899.99$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Islanders | 48c | 870$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.4 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb9…41ecbacked Islanders | 47c | 810$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.3 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Lightning | 53c | 800$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.67 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Islanders | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Lightning | 58c | 793.1$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Islandersthis page
- Lightning vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.