TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe8a8…a48e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
406
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst College Football at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST14358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 143 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$936
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$3,149.9
Spread: Suns (-4.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$161.32
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35,639.81
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$441
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$328
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+39.1%+$704.02
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$983.75
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$8,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$8,299.84
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12,559.77
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43,939Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+68.4%+$30,049.31
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,954Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$3,074.15
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$8,884Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+100%+$8,883.53
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$528
Spread: Hornets (-8.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$468
Wizards vs. Hawksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,532Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$3,532.16
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10,395
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20,629Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20,628.96
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$490
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$7,892Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+222.6%+$17,565.75
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$711Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$558.98
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45,673Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$45,672.51
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$272
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12,977Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12,976.88
Showing 25 of 143 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST9548.4%46 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Ducksbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16,347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16,346.72
Lightning vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,397Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+177.8%+$9,595.11
Panthers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,994Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$4,993.6
Islanders vs. Ducksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$27,030
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14,243.86
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40,290Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$38,710
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20,847Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20,846.8
Maple Leafs vs. Lightningbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$7,387Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$7,386.84
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25,766Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25,766.33
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37,226Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$37,226.24
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50,000
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26,851Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+77.7%+$20,870
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18,151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18,151.29
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45,934Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45,934.1
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40,180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+100%+$40,180.08
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14,081.31
Flames vs. Wildbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$6,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$6,450.01
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+117.4%+$29,699.99
Blackhawks vs. Penguinsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$21,449.99
Kings vs. Sabresbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14,321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$14,320.83
Jets vs. Lightningbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$25,124.84
Flyers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$50,018.04
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$64,976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$64,975.51
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46,526Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$52,465.47
Flyers vs. Avalanchebacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28,130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+257.1%+$72,333.93
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST8236.6%30 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$712Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$711.81
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$7,594Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$7,594.2
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$4,399.94
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,896Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$4,896.36
Connecticut vs. Armybacked Connecticut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$6,747Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$6,746.75
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$5,181.2
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,627Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$1,554.36
UNLV Runnin' vs. Ohiobacked UNLV Runnin' · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$56,401Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$56,401.35
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14,539.97
Spread: Georgia (-2.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,437Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$5,436.62
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22,938Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$22,938.04
Miami (OH) vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$1,881.82
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Vanderbilt vs. Tennesseebacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$836Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+127.3%+$1,064
UAB Blazers vs. Tulsabacked Tulsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$320.28
Arkansas State vs. Appalachian Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,064Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+104.2%+$1,107.99
Clemson vs. South Carolinabacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+127.3%+$980
Spread: Arizona (-2.5)backed Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,033.5
Boise State vs. Utah Statebacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$720
San Diego State vs. New Mexicobacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Jacksonville State vs. Florida Internationalbacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,809Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+88.7%+$5,154.13
Kentucky vs. Vanderbiltbacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$561.75
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Middle Tennesseebacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,372Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,372.41
Liberty vs. Louisiana Techbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$103
Old Dominion vs. Georgia Southernbacked Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$97.9
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST6459.4%38 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$26,553
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73,157Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$57,480.28
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,275
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$429.97
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36,219Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$19,502.4
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90,703Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$53,270.25
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15,207.8
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$606.28
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,593Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,592.61
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67,374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$67,374.05
Jets vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12,235Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25%+$3,058.67
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50,281Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29,530.14
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$5,530
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30,090Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20,910
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$7,153Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+117.4%+$8,396.54
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,613Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$1,430.1
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$729.66
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$9,892Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$9,892.07
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$355.74
Jets vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$87,761Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+37%+$32,459.44
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15,889Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$14,666.36
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13,706Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+88%+$12,063.45
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61,713Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+59.8%+$36,888.92
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34,512Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$34,512.23
Browns vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28,197Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$8,422.48
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Alibi Idiris (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Idiris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$54.72
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jacoby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,287Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$1,524.97
UFC Fight Night: Bruna Brasil vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Souza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+73%+$64.57
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$49
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$653.96
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35,455Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$10,000.1
UFC 325: Brundage vs. Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Rowston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,266Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$2,294.49
UFC 325: Yizha vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Yizha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$724.83
UFC 325: Sangwook Kim vs. Dom Mar Fan (Lightweight, Early Prelims)backed Mar Fan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+72.4%+$310.74
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28,279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$28,278.89
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21,324Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10,984.98
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23,378Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7,792.71
UFC 324: Perez vs. Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24,376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$24,375.6
UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vettori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$28,137.06
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Morales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,815Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+127.3%+$2,310.05
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$9,080Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$5,332.72
UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,608Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+56.7%+$3,180.57
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$390
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Syracuse Orange vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$992.61
SMU Mustangs vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,934Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$1,087.77
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Little Rock Trojansbacked Little Rock Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,565Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,565
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Lopez vs. Stevensonbacked Stevenson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$82.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.