TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Liberty vs. Louisiana Tech

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Louisiana Techof Liberty, Louisiana Tech
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,202
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,951

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,202 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Liberty50c28,646$14,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,420.593548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Louisiana Tech50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0005064%32 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Liberty52c17,346$9,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,012.9232745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Louisiana Tech33c12,617$4,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,464.13580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+63.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Louisiana Tech25c6,100$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,584.7786243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Louisiana Tech48c6,098$2,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,171.82,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Liberty50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50038142.5%162 W · 219 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Louisiana Tech49c4,165$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,121.6452449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Louisiana Tech52c3,884$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.8826244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Louisiana Tech49c3,742$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.0834529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Louisiana Tech49c3,082$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.8249443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc639…997fbacked Liberty52c2,006$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ebf…6925backed Louisiana Tech48c2,006$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9146…5f30backed Louisiana Tech50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Louisiana Tech49c2,000$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03065945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed Liberty51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Louisiana Tech48c1,302$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.0417443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Liberty80c1,186$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.2413933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Louisiana Tech50c1,015$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.521055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27e3…bbd0backed Louisiana Tech50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b9…7874backed Liberty51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Louisiana Tech48c998.52$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.232458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Louisiana Tech49c881$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.8429249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Louisiana Tech17c775.68$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.8355350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Louisiana Tech50c767.4$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.710742.1%45 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Louisiana Tech50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30021644.9%97 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd446…72c7backed Louisiana Tech49c591.44$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf74a…f70bbacked Liberty50c585.22$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa648…c25ebacked Liberty50c572.04$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Louisiana Tech47c566.18$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.081,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fe…f3d7backed Louisiana Tech50c547.74$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1537…b8f1backed Liberty50c536.93$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c2…e455backed Louisiana Tech50c533.46$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7741…493abacked Louisiana Tech50c532$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.113100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+54%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb250…841dbacked Louisiana Tech50c520.3$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba8…6ae3backed Liberty50c513.75$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e38…657ebacked Louisiana Tech50c512.55$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Louisiana Tech50c495.16$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.3128440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d60…6111backed Liberty50c481.77$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc275…ef8abacked Liberty50c475.37$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d3…6e43backed Louisiana Tech49c457.72$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Liberty50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013531.9%43 W · 92 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Louisiana Tech49c342.83$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.287642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e4…b96fbacked Louisiana Tech28c317.02$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.022050%10 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac7f…361fbacked Louisiana Tech32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.54122%9 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Louisiana Tech52c270$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.51855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Louisiana Tech51c245.05$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.957144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Louisiana Tech48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3330253%160 W · 142 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Louisiana Tech48c208$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.169124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Louisiana Tech51c205.88$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.885724.6%14 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd64…cbeebacked Liberty79c205.26$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163933.3%3 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-44.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Liberty52c198.07$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1038236.6%30 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Louisiana Tech48c198.07$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1036847.1%32 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Louisiana Tech44c192.54$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8619842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Louisiana Tech60c175$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707856.4%44 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66f3…bde4backed Louisiana Tech47c163.47$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.11392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.6wins+0.36per pick57cpaid+58.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x557f…efa5backed Liberty20c156.3$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2862…b2ddbacked Louisiana Tech50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757445.9%34 W · 40 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Louisiana Tech42c146$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0420553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c0…93fdbacked Liberty48c140$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+132.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Liberty73c136.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010664.2%68 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Louisiana Tech28c134.85$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5426939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Louisiana Tech38c132.51$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7162843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Louisiana Tech38c115.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2226940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Louisiana Tech23c101.06$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8258850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Louisiana Tech48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5247331.5%149 W · 324 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Liberty68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5530548.9%149 W · 156 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b8…d83abacked Louisiana Tech50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x527e…5fe4backed Louisiana Tech50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508100%8 W · 0 L+3.6wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+90.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7abc…c360backed Liberty51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5190%0 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf014…d442backed Liberty52c89.53$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.561643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Liberty52c83.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.391520%3 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-61.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2433…10acbacked Louisiana Tech18c76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.634533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Louisiana Tech48c74.44$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.450358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed57…e0a0backed Liberty52c54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.177847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed Liberty71c52.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.853135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc67d…24cdbacked Liberty51c50.96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Louisiana Tech48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2624157.3%138 W · 103 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x219a…ded8backed Louisiana Tech61c49.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Liberty75c47.89$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.921758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf78…4dd1backed Liberty52c42.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e76…43ddbacked Louisiana Tech49c42.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d0…3cd5backed Louisiana Tech51c40.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Liberty53c40.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4426846.3%124 W · 144 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8639…fb86backed Louisiana Tech50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207441.9%31 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Louisiana Tech50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e74…d044backed Louisiana Tech50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207346.6%34 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9efd…30babacked Liberty50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+36.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f95…cd47backed Liberty53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc97a…dbe3backed Louisiana Tech46c36.34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.811861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51b1…0a46backed Liberty52c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.785347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a2e…6200backed Louisiana Tech44c32.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.451723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-48.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5314…e558backed Liberty50c32.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d3…ada0backed Liberty51c31.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x830b…c771backed Louisiana Tech50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74c7…8e16backed Liberty51c27.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a4f…50ccbacked Liberty51c26.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3439…4f64backed Liberty77c25.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7cd…745bbacked Louisiana Tech48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0b…ae91backed Liberty52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.