TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66f3…bde4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: College Football, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 64 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3250%16 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 90.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Kenneth Walker III: Rushing Yards O/U 80.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+127.3%+$14
Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.5
TreVeyon Henderson: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Kenneth Walker III: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Cooper Kupp: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.71
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Big Game: 'Seahawks Revenge' Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.68
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H Moneylinebacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$19
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$361.56
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+96.1%+$46.85
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+100.8%+$10.54
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$72.78
Jaguars vs. Cardinalsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+64.7%+$32.7
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+106.8%+$76.69
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+37%+$146.55
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$83.21
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+75.4%+$18.88
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$12.27
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$193.26
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.6wins+0.36per pick57cpaid+58.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
College Football — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Notre Dame vs. Stanford: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+62.7%+$173.15
Kennesaw State vs. Libertybacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+100%+$10
BYU vs. Cincinnatibacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,109Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+72.3%+$2,248.52
UConn vs. Florida Atlanticbacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+59.6%+$58.5
Duke vs. North Carolinabacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+53.7%+$298.95
Liberty vs. Louisiana Techbacked Louisiana Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+111.3%+$86.1
Missouri State vs. Kennesaw Statebacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.76
Baylor vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.65
Minnesota vs. Northwesternbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$151.57
Georgia vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+81.6%+$165.68
New Mexico vs. UNLVbacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,695Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+101%+$1,711.34
Duke vs. Clemsonbacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+34.7%+$107.59
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$557.5
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$95.53
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,374Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+37.8%+$896.21
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,595Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+28.2%+$449.9
All 5 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$30.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.