TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Red Wings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Rangers, Red Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$401,969
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$403,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,969 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 409 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x821d…0a01backed Rangers47c91,558$43,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,225.4621652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Rangers53c69,951$37,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,937.831,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Red Wings52c42,676$22,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,343.425745.6%26 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Rangers50c25,000$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,5001,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings50c23,101$11,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,550.421,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Red Wings50c22,112$11,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,123.1430848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a69…a466backed Red Wings54c21,513$11,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,609.621040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Rangers50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Red Wings53c18,202$9,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,568.2814057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Rangers47c16,096$7,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,529.9813553.3%72 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Red Wings32c13,000$4,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1501729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Rangers47c10,720$5,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,718.7388151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Red Wings50c10,247$5,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,102.8941246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Rangers50c10,002$4,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,009.8110352.4%54 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Red Wings50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Red Wings52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20025446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Red Wings53c8,000$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,24089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings51c7,767$3,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,947.551,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Red Wings50c6,905$3,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,452.58952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb028…b0dcbacked Red Wings44c6,497$2,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8582642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Red Wings51c6,059$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,101.1837847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3289…4538backed Red Wings54c5,071$2,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,738.193148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Red Wings53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65013946.8%65 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Wings52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Red Wings49c4,613$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.414546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Wings51c4,210$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.0786649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd2…19ffbacked Red Wings53c3,962$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1002548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Rangers47c3,500$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85530447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Red Wings50c3,382$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.0215646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Red Wings53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59075251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Red Wings50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Red Wings52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56012445.2%56 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers61c2,784$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.595049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe40c…21a1backed Red Wings50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2501145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecbd…8d64backed Rangers51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2251154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Red Wings49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22521048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed Red Wings52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.992050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Rangers47c2,465$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.4616743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c2f…36f2backed Rangers48c2,462$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.382665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+30.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbca8…52c1backed Red Wings50c2,400$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x559f…cd83backed Red Wings50c2,400$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3db0…ece3backed Rangers51c2,400$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1761637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e2…eb4abacked Rangers51c2,334$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.33862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Red Wings22c2,147$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.0833848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db5…7094backed Red Wings50c2,065$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2515…65e8backed Rangers51c2,065$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+58.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Red Wings50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Red Wings52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04012041.7%50 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9b1…2c46backed Rangers50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Red Wings50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-43.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x618d…aadcbacked Red Wings49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9802454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Wings48c1,997$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.6563249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Red Wings53c1,890$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.723642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Rangers49c1,880$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9211946.2%55 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Red Wings49c1,873$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.754047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Rangers49c1,700$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8673171%22 W · 9 L+5.8wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+38.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8182…e54fbacked Red Wings50c1,688$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84440%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82f8…45c1backed Red Wings50c1,668$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eca…c052backed Red Wings50c1,666$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Red Wings12c1,666$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9229412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…6e04backed Red Wings50c1,666$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3688…d794backed Red Wings49c1,660$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb86…6707backed Rangers51c1,635$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…b79bbacked Rangers51c1,633$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fd…b579backed Rangers51c1,633$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings52c1,528$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.532,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Rangers50c1,509$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.591653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Rangers50c1,509$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.51,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d4…8713backed Rangers48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7802138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6011…1cc5backed Rangers48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings5c1,500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Red Wings40c1,485$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.0958841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Rangers47c1,445$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.6615954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Red Wings50c1,382$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6917659.2%45 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe61f…8beebacked Rangers79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.82450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Rangers48c1,250$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.526955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x610d…9b6fbacked Red Wings8c1,194$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Red Wings50c1,164$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.9240550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Rangers48c1,120$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.384949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rangers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1161…ed62backed Red Wings54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5406443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x569b…9667backed Rangers47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5305100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+103.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Red Wings5c943.1$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.171,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rangers78c940$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20682043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Rangers47c918$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.5415448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked Red Wings49c851.16$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4183636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings51c825$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.251,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82d…1a99backed Rangers51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Red Wings49c763$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.8783652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa68…94a7backed Rangers47c756$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.689642.7%41 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa71a…e4e2backed Red Wings53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rangers47c745$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.8572847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Red Wings54c742.59$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008541.2%35 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Red Wings53c730$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.95646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x669c…6c54backed Red Wings50c706$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3534967.3%33 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+30.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcb72…3582backed Rangers51c705.88$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.882958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rangers78c691.41$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.032,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Red Wings50c673$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.55752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings49c653.2$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.951,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Rangers48c614.81$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.715044.7%67 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.