TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6011…1cc5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST1931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$484.63
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$759.99
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$879.99
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.79
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$43.69
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$196.2
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$1,095.43
Pelicans vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,055Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+26.6%+$280.42
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$417.56
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+42.9%+$360
Magic vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$292.03
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+44.9%+$86.72
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+85.2%+$517.39
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+35.1%+$208
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$407.36
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$25.83
Pistons vs. Grizzliesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$301.92
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$717.97
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT+163.2%+$199.01
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.72
Yankees vs. Twinsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,071Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,071
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,508Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$1,391.9
Brewers vs. Redsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$470
Marlins vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$200
Royals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.13
All 6 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Rangers vs. Red Wingsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+108.3%+$780
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$579.99
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$530
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+66.7%+$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$640
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,119.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.