TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Brewers vs. Reds

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brewersof Brewers, Reds
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$307,398
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$346,482

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,398 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 664 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7435…a620backed Reds49c20,346$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00028646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Reds45c17,815$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0008540%34 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Brewers53c17,269$9,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,116.546845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29d7…068bbacked Brewers53c13,700$7,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,4391850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Reds47c12,687$5,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,962.8717351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Brewers50c10,673$5,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,292.9354345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Reds47c10,213$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80019649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds47c10,075$4,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,734.821,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Brewers53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70010041%41 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Reds47c8,617$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,049.8744456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers53c7,530$3,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,544.12,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44e…40b6backed Reds47c7,400$3,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4781275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+44%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe785…e106backed Reds47c7,136$3,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,354.034854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Brewers53c6,900$3,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,24325453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Brewers52c6,333$3,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,039.8498149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Reds47c5,795$2,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,696.191,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers52c5,273$2,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,525.161,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Brewers53c4,717$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.9822948.9%112 W · 117 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Brewers54c4,252$2,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.939560%57 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Brewers54c4,167$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.6724154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf25d…1134backed Reds47c3,900$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcab0…4cd3backed Brewers34c3,419$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.689447.9%45 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Brewers50c3,388$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.2795930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Brewers63c3,356$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.725551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Reds57c3,071$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.19,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8a3…1901backed Reds47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.83742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4950…0031backed Reds50c2,968$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.395644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers57c2,354$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.3151953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Brewers53c2,264$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.1513553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Reds47c2,161$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.5343949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa365…d26ebacked Brewers64c2,138$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.6214052.9%74 W · 66 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Brewers53c2,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.9916651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Brewers53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7914966.4%99 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers47c1,868$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.7966645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Reds47c1,786$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.514148.2%68 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Reds58c1,663$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.096,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Brewers52c1,649$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.4125454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Reds32c1,593$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9231248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa17e…b7eabacked Brewers64c1,567$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers52c1,451$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.412,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Reds47c1,303$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.5838047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Brewers52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57613359.4%79 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Brewers49c1,110$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.9311553%61 W · 54 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Reds46c1,099$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50470946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Brewers55c1,083$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.8622546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers55c1,065$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.9542452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Brewers48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6763052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bec…56d0backed Brewers23c1,003$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6011…1cc5backed Brewers53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Brewers56c989.29$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.291,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Brewers54c791.43$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.0634550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Reds65c773$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.5747745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Brewers53c750$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35121656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Brewers54c741.04$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.8819356.5%109 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e1…c6e2backed Reds47c699.99$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-77.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Brewers57c693.42$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.511,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Brewers55c658.75$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.7517244.8%77 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Brewers36c619.44$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.4439436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Reds48c618.96$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.116654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Reds45c593.73$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.7138444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80b1…f64abacked Reds34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004050%20 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers53c566$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.021,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers57c563.71$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.074,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95de…42d5backed Brewers66c533.13$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.136960.9%42 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0b…2305backed Brewers54c533.11$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.718042.5%34 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Reds38c525.94$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6341747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Reds48c521.86$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.3718848.4%91 W · 97 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Brewers53c514.85$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.989645.8%44 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Reds21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8322047.7%105 W · 115 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Brewers50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25095850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Reds44c499.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9930850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Reds41c493.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005834.5%20 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Reds44c473.04$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.1451347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Reds34c457.16$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3832754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Reds6c402$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.711,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Brewers53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18824951.8%129 W · 120 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Reds45c400$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1781,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Brewers63c357.7$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9224751%126 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Reds44c349.99$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Reds44c349.98$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9983248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Reds44c345$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.81,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Reds47c341$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2717946.4%83 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Reds23c328.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3531547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Reds63c320.87$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3921246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers54c320$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.21,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Brewers53c317.92$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.425955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Brewers53c313.86$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9885047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Brewers55c310$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.634051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2276…9717backed Brewers53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Reds68c294.34$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.841,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Brewers49c290.65$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6557545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Brewers56c288.38$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.8924253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b32…32c1backed Reds35c282.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002450%12 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce6f…e87cbacked Brewers54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.784647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Reds48c270.65$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.911,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3447…3495backed Reds46c270$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.22650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Brewers43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.538741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Brewers50c244.91$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4143946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Brewers61c234.43$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.431,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Brewers53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.429947.5%47 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.