TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f0b…2305

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
201
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NFL, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 62 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 19, 2025, EDT8042.5%34 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Orioles vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+100%+$161.89
Mariners vs. Metsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$663.03
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$818Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$818.37
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$727.49
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,295Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+110%+$1,424.3
Yankees vs. Cardinalsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+66.1%+$748.13
Tigers vs. Twinsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$917.04
White Sox vs. Royalsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$675.49
Brewers vs. Redsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$903Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$902.69
Phillies vs. Nationalsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+53.9%+$594.86
Rays vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.53
Yankees vs. Cardinalsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+75.6%+$184.02
Brewers vs. Redsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+84.9%+$244.71
Braves vs. Guardiansbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$413.73
Marlins vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$303.34
Mariners vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+51.7%+$110.29
Phillies vs. Nationalsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,151Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,150.53
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$273.12
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$271.21
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+100.9%+$105.31
Yankees vs. Cardinalsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+102.2%+$20.07
Rangers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$705
Mariners vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.45
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT3234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTA Cincinnati - Swiatek vs. Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.81
ATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. Alcaraz backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.71
ATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. Atmanebacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.13
ATP Cincinnati - Shelton vs. Zverevbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.16
ATP Cincinnati - Rublev vs. Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,345Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+25%+$336.28
ATP Cincinnati - Atmane vs. Rune backed Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,286.01
ATP Cincinnati - Shelton vs. Leheckabacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+68%+$220.29
ATP Cincinnati - Fritz vs. Atmane backed Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$1,199.16
ATP Cincinnati - Auger-Aliassime vs. Bonzi backed Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.49
ATP Cincinnati - Shelton vs. Bautista Agutbacked Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.83
ATP Cincinnati - Tiafoe vs. Rune backed Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$813Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+79.5%+$646.08
ATP Cincinnati - Lehecka vs. Waltonbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+33.2%+$14.17
ATP Cincinnati - Khachanov vs. Brooksbybacked Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.23
ATP Cincinnati - Medjedovic vs. Alcarazbacked Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.7
ATP Cincinnati - Popyrin vs. Rublevbacked Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.75
ATP Cincinnati - Opelka vs. Comesanabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.78
ATP Cincinnati - Mannarino vs. Paul backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$213.32
ATP Cincinnati - Fonseca vs. Atmanebacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.26
ATP Cincinnati - Tsitsipas vs. Bonzibacked Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$311.39
ATP Cincinnati - Atmane vs. Cobollibacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+152.1%+$36.3
ATP Cincinnati - Davidovich Fokina vs. Fonsecabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$740.27
ATP Cincinnati - Machac vs. Mannarinobacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.2
ATP Toronto – Shelton vs. Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.22
ATP Toronto – Zverev vs. Khachanovbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$574.85
WTA Montreal – Mboko vs. Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.77
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+50.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+81%+$83.22
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$5.7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$223.26
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$14.08
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+105.6%+$13.47
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.65
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.33
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.22
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$42.81
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.08
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+866.2%+$245.45
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20.98
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+168.9%+$26.23
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.17
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$16.62
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$10.61
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$45.82
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$106.89
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+200.3%+$118.58
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 19, 2025, EDT1782.4%14 W · 3 L+4.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+65.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Commanders backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,091Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+55.9%+$609.83
Bills vs. Bears backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+69%+$86.73
Cardinals vs. Broncos backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+61.7%+$321.4
Chargers vs. Rams backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$283.67
Ravens vs. Cowboys backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.88
Buccaneers vs. Steelers backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$98.42
Jets vs. Giants backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+53.9%+$87.39
49ers vs. Raiders backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$692.53
Dolphins vs. Lions backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+89.1%+$379.84
Packers vs. Colts backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$80.39
Patriots vs. Vikings backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+121.3%+$462.65
Browns vs. Eagles backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+140.7%+$584.88
Panthers vs. Texans backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+74%+$188.42
Chiefs vs. Seahawks backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+66.9%+$49.01
Titans vs. Falcons backed Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+69%+$104.12
Texans vs. Vikings backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$176
Browns vs. Panthersbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+245%+$194.13
All 17 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Anora" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$32.08
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$82.5
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.27
Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$56.44
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.85
Will Brady Corbet win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Brutalist"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$29.04
Will Sean Baker win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "Anora"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+65.8%+$25.64
Will "Anora" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+52.4%+$6.4
Will Kieran Culkin win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "A Real Pain"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$43.68
Will "Hacks" win Best Cast in a Comedy Series at the 2025 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+156.4%+$18.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+203.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-64.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.69
Will FC Metz win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+31.7%+$58.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+330.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DOGE cut $1B from USAID before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+330.5%+$198.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+177.8%+$19.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+113.7%+$31.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$7.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Davis play before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$56.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grimace vs. DoubleYoubacked DoubleYou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dogecoin above $0.27 on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferrari record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$76.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.