NHL · resolved market
Will Canada win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a1feef4b8ffae27bfb6e3978df2d17aec80d631f28e3069c5c5e3722fd22b37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 49c | 14,733$7,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,237.55 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes | 50c | 12,746$6,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,417.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a1…daa5backed Yes | 51c | 12,619$6,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,183.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 51c | 7,659$3,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,901.01 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 53cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 45c | 6,787$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,763.82 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked No | 50c | 6,096$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 50c | 5,384$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.51 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed No | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0997…c238backed Yes | 45c | 4,865$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes | 50c | 4,318$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.38 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02e…fe03backed Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…4602backed Yes | 48c | 3,786$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 55c | 3,669$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.11 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 39c | 3,538$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.5 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Yes | 41c | 3,345$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.63 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 52c | 2,684$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.29 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 55c | 2,615$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.57 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 41c | 2,300$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.73 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Yes | 42c | 2,163$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.22 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked No | 60c | 2,048$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.02 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…9678backed Yes | 50c | 1,996$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.24 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,787$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.36 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfb…86d5backed Yes | 51c | 1,745$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed No | 55c | 1,737$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…03ccbacked No | 50c | 1,730$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 58c | 1,692$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.62 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 50c | 1,582$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.07 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…e954backed No | 51c | 1,556$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…0848backed Yes | 50c | 1,407$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 54c | 1,331$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Yes | 53c | 1,326$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.92 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 59c | 1,229$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.31 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 42c | 1,200$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 40c | 1,136$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.85 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 52c | 1,060$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.06 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…06afbacked Yes | 54c | 1,004$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked No | 49c | 982.99$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 49c | 967.39$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.02 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 59c | 884.77$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.18 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 44c | 827$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.7 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f2cbbacked Yes | 51c | 800$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 61c | 750$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5a…a406backed Yes | 51c | 742.88$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 51c | 650.23$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 60c | 644.63$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.75 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed No | 50c | 621$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…dfa1backed Yes | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 54c | 595$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.75 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 44c | 500$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…de68backed Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffda…1e18backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 43c | 422.3$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.36 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…c656backed Yes | 49c | 408.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.31 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 61c | 400.15$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.73 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Yes | 50c | 386.86$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…47e9backed Yes | 51c | 359.49$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 39c | 350.67$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.24 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 59c | 332.54$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.57 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d603backed No | 50c | 311.17$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…2c40backed Yes | 45c | 309.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aff…ea51backed Yes | 42c | 306.88$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94af…aa4bbacked Yes | 33c | 301.41$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 58c | 282$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Yes | 49c | 279.79$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.69 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 62c | 272.06$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.39 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…c4adbacked Yes | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Yes | 40c | 264.44$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.66 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa583…a61bbacked Yes | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…accabacked Yes | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked No | 49c | 234.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…5b14backed Yes | 30c | 215$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.75 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…c68fbacked No | 52c | 202.69$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d6…eec0backed Yes | 51c | 196.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.13 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 45c | 195.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 39c | 185$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 50c | 179$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 43c | 175.45$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.85 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed Yes | 45c | 167.42$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…4815backed Yes | 49c | 157$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…ee8dbacked Yes | 40c | 146.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 52c | 133$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 56c | 132.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e5…7df4backed No | 59c | 122.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…e279backed Yes | 46c | 120.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 41c | 105.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x067a…cee0backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…c2e0backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Canada win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?this page
- Will Finland win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?No won
- Will Sweden win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?No won
- Will USA win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.