TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e20…f3e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 54 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT5347.2%25 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$236
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$331.4
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$166
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+150%+$150
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
NHL Playoffs: Lightning vs. Panthers (To Advance)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Alex Ovechkin break the scoring record this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+51.9%+$103.72
Capitals vs. Wildbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Capitals vs. Jetsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Flyers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$60
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2025, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abdul Carter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Travis Hunter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be purple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$214.1
Will Jalen Hurts score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+614.3%+$619.81
Will Xavier Worthy score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+151%+$75.35
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Lions vs. 49ersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+51.5%+$99.22
Broncos vs. Bengalsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Falcons vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST-100%-$105
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+100%+$100
Chiefs vs. Brownsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+47.1%+$94.12
Bengals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$179
Browns vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+38.9%+$194.44
Eagles vs. Ravensbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+138.8%+$41.63
Dolphins vs. Packersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$53
Ravens vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$45
49ers vs. Packersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+455.6%+$113.89
Patriots vs. Dolphinsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Bengals vs. Chargersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$57
Falcons vs. Broncosbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$150
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+53.8%+$53.85
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2024, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$61
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+51.5%+$103.03
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+28.2%+$84.62
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+38.9%+$77.78
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+156.4%+$78.21
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+51.6%+$51.58
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-47.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$135
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+257.1%+$257.14
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Will Trump nominate RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+122.2%+$122.22
All 11 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-61.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Will Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+32%+$54.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+614.3%+$153.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2024 November hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.