TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Olympics · resolved market

Men's Group A - Czechia vs. Canada

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadaof Czechia, Canada
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$448,905
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$460,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $448,905 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Olympics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Czechia15c165,524$25,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,160.952737%10 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Czechia17c34,089$5,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,648.031225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Czechia15c29,903$4,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,554.563616.7%6 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Czechia16c25,857$4,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,068.61233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Czechia16c18,660$2,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,894.42812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-72.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Czechia12c18,478$2,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.362420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-59.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Czechia16c11,396$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.372634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Czechia15c5,725$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.772944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Czechia16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Czechia15c4,691$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.53128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-89.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Czechia12c4,067$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.294325.6%11 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Czechia16c4,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6401457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe20…c1d8backed Czechia17c3,900$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Czechia16c3,167$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.762321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Czechia16c2,840$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.331735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Czechia16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Czechia17c1,999$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.831241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b68…6f4ebacked Czechia17c1,600$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Czechia17c1,599$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.72837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5781…bbfbbacked Czechia17c1,352$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.28714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-68.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Czechia7c1,229$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.842532%8 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Czechia7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70248.3%2 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-76.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b3a…1440backed Czechia16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Czechia11c900$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.022832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Czechia9c841.01$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.891233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea5…6548backed Czechia17c684.55$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11850%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Czechia18c644.79$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-69.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked Czechia7c596.12$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.542437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dce…2958backed Czechia17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Czechia10c576.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.181323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e20…f3e7backed Czechia18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-61.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe761…6e67backed Czechia18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…0f83backed Czechia9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Czechia16c549.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02f9…ad42backed Czechia12c523.52$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebd5…094cbacked Czechia12c512.49$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591520%3 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0b…44fdbacked Czechia4c506.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Czechia9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-61.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Czechia18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x53b4…3b0dbacked Czechia18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Czechia17c457.52$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.572740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Czechia14c446.65$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.662948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Czechia9c399.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362825%7 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f21…aa46backed Czechia18c370.56$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.730%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49cd…ffffbacked Czechia17c356.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf494…8a85backed Czechia11c309.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9740%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Czechia17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518236.6%30 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Canada80c297.3$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.461040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Czechia13c288$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.442025%5 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ba8…697ebacked Czechia18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Czechia18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick32cpaid+65.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Czechia18c270$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Czechia16c263.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.242825%7 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Czechia19c258.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0748…fd6cbacked Czechia9c255.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Czechia20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7d1…ba29backed Canada80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc61a…c00cbacked Czechia18c247.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-60.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b71…7323backed Czechia9c244.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46e7…c9e4backed Czechia16c235.63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-61.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Czechia17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Czechia18c221.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402025%5 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2700…9165backed Czechia17c205.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ec…4e64backed Czechia10c203.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60d…761abacked Czechia15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b0…ceebbacked Czechia14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2850%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fb6…75d4backed Czechia19c197.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a23…31c3backed Czechia13c196.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea6…baf1backed Czechia8c185.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c4…fe40backed Czechia7c185$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Czechia18c184$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.021154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Czechia15c180.77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1270%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacc8…a051backed Czechia6c172.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff05…0a63backed Czechia18c172.39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Czechia17c169.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8340%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Czechia16c169.13$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.06911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-70%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked Czechia18c166.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-67.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…766ebacked Czechia19c159.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5cc…0540backed Czechia17c151.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Czechia19c150$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.55516.4%9 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-70.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc75a…8a88backed Czechia17c147.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69cf…ca78backed Czechia14c143.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Czechia14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+70.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8666…a368backed Czechia17c142.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.262420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6072…5703backed Czechia17c130.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88dd…d222backed Czechia16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf549…2ecbbacked Czechia16c118.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-64.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbe…1559backed Czechia17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3de…3842backed Czechia17c115.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca3…8a70backed Czechia17c115.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ec…f767backed Czechia18c111.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd12…87a4backed Czechia18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d0…bcadbacked Czechia18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c66…5f14backed Czechia17c110$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Czechia15c106.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6960%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Czechia14c102.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.811926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-52.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Czechia16c100.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.381533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6da7…4a42backed Czechia18c100.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe2a…cdecbacked Czechia17c100.12$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa6…48fabacked Czechia18c100.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.