TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2700…9165

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Valorant, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 57 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT4645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,022Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$378
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.82
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$793Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$373.54
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$280
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.37
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$320
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$221
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$192
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+43%+$230.84
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 4 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$277.3
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$582.4
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$396
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$495
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$387.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+81.8%+$531.03
Counter-Strike: G2 vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$309.41
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$339.03
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+132.6%+$161.06
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$295.68
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$163.7
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+247.7%+$41.09
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST2528%7 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs The Bandits (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffsbacked The Bandits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+102.8%+$102.81
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$250
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$200
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$172.5
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Kick-off Playoffsbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+233.1%+$437.08
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+568.2%+$860.6
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$209.26
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+284.6%+$227.69
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$80
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$80
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+334.8%+$368.23
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 4 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$31
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$193.99
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$240
LoL: French Flair vs BK ROG Esports (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked BK ROG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$215
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$190.9
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+226%+$169.47
LoL: A One Man Army Esports Prime vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked A One Man Army Esports Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$350
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Lille Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Lille Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$350
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$95
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 4 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+185.6%+$189.27
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 3 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$111
All 25 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Abacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$294.33
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$121.37
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+183.7%+$244.95
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+150%+$150
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$120.74
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+147.7%+$205.27
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Inner Circle (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Group Bbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$96.1
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.73
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+78.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$123.32
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+138.1%+$96.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$37.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.