TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.Gof Gen.G, Dplus KIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,803,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,836,478

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,803,450 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Dplus KIA10c317,433$31,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,349.0155955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e3b…6598backed Dplus KIA7c107,435$7,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,339.16336.1%2 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-81.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Dplus KIA8c105,053$8,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,454.771,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Dplus KIA10c74,198$7,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,204.431,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Dplus KIA7c67,982$4,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,616.6720035%70 W · 130 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bac…6fb7backed Dplus KIA15c67,285$10,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,092.7518633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Dplus KIA10c51,196$5,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,048.548938.2%34 W · 55 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked Dplus KIA7c50,891$3,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,529.779142.9%39 W · 52 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd7…211cbacked Dplus KIA12c50,000$5,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,998.291741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed Dplus KIA11c31,551$3,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,325.1125547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Dplus KIA5c20,881$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.5714425%36 W · 108 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Dplus KIA8c20,561$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.961,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8292…f774backed Dplus KIA9c20,160$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.3916238.9%63 W · 99 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Dplus KIA9c20,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7003815.8%6 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Dplus KIA7c17,656$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.346453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Dplus KIA9c14,000$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1901,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Dplus KIA10c12,012$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.741,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Dplus KIA10c10,800$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08021939.3%86 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Dplus KIA14c10,455$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003644.4%16 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Dplus KIA8c10,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75010631.1%33 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Dplus KIA6c10,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Dplus KIA7c8,583$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.7843539.5%172 W · 263 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Dplus KIA13c7,860$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.012429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Dplus KIA9c7,844$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.982733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Dplus KIA11c7,135$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.2553139.9%212 W · 319 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Dplus KIA9c6,333$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.9425639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Dplus KIA5c6,168$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.8625446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9750…0969backed Dplus KIA18c5,678$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed Dplus KIA8c5,003$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.2340651.7%210 W · 196 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Dplus KIA6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017933%59 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Dplus KIA12c5,000$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62548440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Dplus KIA6c4,800$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.3215545.8%71 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Dplus KIA7c4,336$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.0127535.3%97 W · 178 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Dplus KIA14c4,025$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.4657945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Dplus KIA8c3,950$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.577131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Dplus KIA8c3,766$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.7899338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Dplus KIA9c3,704$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.332,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Dplus KIA9c3,596$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.615945.3%72 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e6…9d29backed Dplus KIA10c3,534$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.033426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-53.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Dplus KIA9c3,270$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30074344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb22a…8e6cbacked Dplus KIA9c3,256$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-45%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Dplus KIA10c3,236$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.6440232.8%132 W · 270 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0b3…b220backed Dplus KIA9c3,201$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.0935850.8%182 W · 176 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Dplus KIA6c2,975$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6917826.4%47 W · 131 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Dplus KIA13c2,665$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.481,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Dplus KIA10c2,620$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2625028%14 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5f…8a41backed Dplus KIA10c2,471$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.316040%64 W · 96 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Dplus KIA17c2,423$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dplus KIA8c2,408$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.853,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x239a…76f2backed Dplus KIA8c2,368$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Dplus KIA13c2,233$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.3554944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Dplus KIA10c2,222$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.21,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10c1…9197backed Dplus KIA5c2,115$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed Dplus KIA15c2,081$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.6235146.2%162 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb45…4972backed Dplus KIA5c2,050$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ce…8884backed Dplus KIA9c2,044$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1941838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x444e…1a78backed Dplus KIA10c2,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+39.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d7c…332dbacked Dplus KIA10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Dplus KIA2c2,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.996297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bc3…d183backed Dplus KIA8c1,960$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.21735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x804a…6c38backed Dplus KIA13c1,728$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2305135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Dplus KIA9c1,690$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.144335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0e…35f8backed Dplus KIA9c1,687$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8313540.7%55 W · 80 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc82e…382ebacked Dplus KIA6c1,660$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Dplus KIA10c1,640$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16474949.7%372 W · 377 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2610…972ebacked Dplus KIA6c1,571$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007311%8 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-72.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Dplus KIA8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12024529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57af…cd44backed Dplus KIA7c1,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b54…0b79backed Dplus KIA13c1,486$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001994.7%18 W · 1 L+5.3wins+0.28per pick67cpaid+36.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7e0e…9f75backed Dplus KIA9c1,391$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.899644.8%43 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5781…bbfbbacked Dplus KIA9c1,389$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.974456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c0…692bbacked Dplus KIA9c1,386$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.722429.2%7 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcf25…cd94backed Dplus KIA10c1,380$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1384214.3%6 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf270…7a37backed Dplus KIA14c1,333$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.829053.3%48 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Dplus KIA13c1,307$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.091,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked Dplus KIA12c1,300$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.216540.6%67 W · 98 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3198…8b1fbacked Dplus KIA6c1,262$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81547.4%4 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-67.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa8…a519backed Dplus KIA8c1,210$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.89955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8229…dfbfbacked Dplus KIA9c1,200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4085…583fbacked Dplus KIA9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002520%5 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x478e…a576backed Dplus KIA9c1,105$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.25100%0 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bdb…4a63backed Dplus KIA10c1,100$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x741e…9014backed Dplus KIA6c1,100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648121%17 W · 64 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e17…2301backed Dplus KIA8c1,039$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8313121.4%28 W · 103 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2700…9165backed Dplus KIA8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802528%7 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7c…c08ebacked Dplus KIA5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506848.5%33 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Dplus KIA8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8046033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x791f…060ebacked Dplus KIA10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026224.8%65 W · 197 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Dplus KIA10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029940.1%120 W · 179 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a52…c0e8backed Dplus KIA9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9035516.3%58 W · 297 L-25.9wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a4b…03d6backed Dplus KIA10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-35.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked Dplus KIA6c1,000$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625320.8%11 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…a754backed Dplus KIA10c973.64$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10235323.2%82 W · 271 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked Dplus KIA9c959.97$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.228837.5%108 W · 180 L-16.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66f3…2bc6backed Dplus KIA7c942.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bb5…44dbbacked Dplus KIA11c916.87$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-58.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Dplus KIA11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047953.2%255 W · 224 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f4e…31cbbacked Dplus KIA7c900$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79d3…b1f4backed Dplus KIA6c899.59$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.11333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-51.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked Dplus KIA6c861.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7152049.2%256 W · 264 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.