TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x791f…060e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
272
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT26224.8%65 W · 197 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 262 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.66
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.65
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.26
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$257.99
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$505.56
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$105
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.6
Showing 25 of 262 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.