NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19b188fef4fd6dfe1f1fb0a4aa861208fd886e76c1533d5fc3b3bf97a3433c9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Cavaliers, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,849,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,386,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,849,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Cavaliers | 40c | 293,589$116,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,457.74 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Pistons | 60c | 269,723$161,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,569.14 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Pistons | 67c | 190,245$128,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,893.37 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Cavaliers | 40c | 184,512$73,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,804.79 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Pistons | 76c | 180,950$137,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,411.78 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pistons | 63c | 164,583$102,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,590.4 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Pistons | 73c | 139,337$102,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,013.43 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 60c | 130,181$78,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,072.57 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Cavaliers | 28c | 129,778$36,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,023.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Cavaliers | 40c | 101,000$40,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,199.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers | 29c | 98,232$28,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,497.49 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pistons | 67c | 85,820$57,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,100.22 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Cavaliers | 0c | 84,952$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers | 39c | 77,190$30,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,436.26 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Cavaliers | 39c | 76,966$30,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,369.11 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pistons | 70c | 76,962$54,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,733.62 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Cavaliers | 40c | 75,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,999.95 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Pistons | 73c | 60,548$43,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,636.9 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cavaliers | 0c | 50,018$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.96 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers | 39c | 49,999$19,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,499.71 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pistons | 60c | 46,983$28,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,793.31 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Pistons | 71c | 45,045$32,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,877.27 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Cavaliers | 40c | 40,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b64…2459backed Pistons | 60c | 38,653$23,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,461.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cavaliers | 40c | 37,922$15,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,331.14 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 40c | 37,697$15,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,238.67 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Pistons | 66c | 35,800$23,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,266.99 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Cavaliers | 12c | 35,055$4,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,266.01 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Cavaliers | 1c | 34,902$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.4 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers | 15c | 34,301$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,059.71 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cavaliers | 18c | 33,815$6,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,086.92 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf165…2194backed Pistons | 63c | 31,605$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,604.94 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 39c | 29,999$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,699.8 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked Pistons | 60c | 29,788$17,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,915.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Pistons | 71c | 28,317$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,316.73 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…ac37backed Cavaliers | 39c | 27,070$10,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,643.89 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Cavaliers | 40c | 26,839$10,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,735.43 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…ee6abacked Pistons | 74c | 25,212$18,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,632.29 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Cavaliers | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.89 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed Pistons | 61c | 24,507$14,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,557.89 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Cavaliers | 40c | 24,507$9,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,802.96 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Pistons | 60c | 22,768$13,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,074.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Cavaliers | 1c | 22,531$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.83 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers | 29c | 22,460$6,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,559.37 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed Cavaliers | 21c | 21,904$4,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,670.87 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Cavaliers | 16c | 20,835$3,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,379.35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Pistons | 73c | 20,545$14,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,639.87 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Cavaliers | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.99 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Pistons | 59c | 17,566$10,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,202.4 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Cavaliers | 19c | 17,045$3,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.31 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Pistons | 60c | 17,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Pistons | 60c | 16,667$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.67 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed Pistons | 77c | 16,118$12,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.45 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…c3c7backed Cavaliers | 40c | 15,805$6,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,322.18 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Cavaliers | 32c | 15,046$4,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850.95 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cavaliers | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.98 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Cavaliers | 32c | 14,582$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Pistons | 77c | 14,348$11,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,341.14 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Cavaliers | 41c | 14,186$5,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,796.18 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Cavaliers | 27c | 14,000$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5074…0493backed Pistons | 60c | 14,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Cavaliers | 28c | 12,455$3,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.3 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Pistons | 76c | 11,932$9,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.28 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -12.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pistons | 67c | 11,087$7,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,681.47 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 39c | 11,000$4,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,334.08 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pistons | 77c | 10,828$8,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.77 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Cavaliers | 20c | 10,580$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.23 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Cavaliers | 40c | 10,390$4,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,156 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Cavaliers | 37c | 10,169$3,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,795.94 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Pistons | 57c | 10,064$5,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,312.35 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…f9c5backed Cavaliers | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ee…4bfabacked Pistons | 61c | 9,994$6,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,897.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Pistons | 61c | 9,836$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,836.07 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…f3f0backed Cavaliers | 29c | 9,767$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers | 22c | 9,663$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.83 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…63d1backed Cavaliers | 28c | 9,615$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.15 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Cavaliers | 38c | 9,500$3,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.48 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cavaliers | 0c | 9,310$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cavaliers | 26c | 9,220$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.35 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Pistons | 61c | 8,668$5,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.52 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Cavaliers | 18c | 8,311$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.54 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Pistons | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.72 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Pistons | 51c | 8,089$4,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,993.37 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6febbacked Pistons | 61c | 8,018$4,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.62 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Cavaliers | 1c | 7,850$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.35 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Cavaliers | 12c | 7,835$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.97 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Pistons | 77c | 7,694$5,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Cavaliers | 33c | 7,603$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.36 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Pistons | 66c | 7,576$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.76 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Pistons | 70c | 7,226$5,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.75 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9e27backed Cavaliers | 37c | 7,058$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.14 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x046f…0828backed Cavaliers | 40c | 7,001$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…fbbcbacked Cavaliers | 40c | 6,999$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…3f0fbacked Pistons | 79c | 6,913$5,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d215backed Cavaliers | 30c | 6,700$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Pistons | 60c | 6,667$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.67 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Cavaliers | 17c | 6,659$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Pistons | 68c | 6,521$4,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.43 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistonsthis page
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 202.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 209.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Dean Wade: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.