NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe62b4b02fea10b62160e41f6183bce2491c3d3d6b11530a2ecad6916a6cacffb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $308,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $352,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Under | 50c | 52,700$26,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,465.04 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Over | 50c | 27,639$13,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,682.61 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 16,267$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.55 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 15,694$7,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,709.72 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 14,634$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,317 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 19c | 14,294$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,653 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Under | 52c | 13,689$7,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,582.54 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 18c | 11,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d7…888fbacked Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Over | 50c | 7,997$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998.41 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 55c | 7,268$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f66…0d6abacked Over | 49c | 6,971$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,415.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 12c | 5,279$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 4,485$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.65 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Over | 50c | 3,880$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Over | 52c | 3,879$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 3,835$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.17 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 50c | 3,117$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.27 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 49c | 2,841$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.71 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 2,625$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 2,607$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.49 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 23c | 2,508$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.08 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Over | 51c | 2,414$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.27 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 2,189$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.72 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…0d2cbacked Under | 51c | 2,120$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.61 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Over | 45c | 1,795$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Over | 22c | 1,708$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.88 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…06b3backed Under | 51c | 1,629$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.41 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Over | 51c | 1,267$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 48c | 1,237$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.53 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…c03dbacked Over | 50c | 1,220$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 1,167$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.99 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 1,025$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.73 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 1,008$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.81 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Under | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 51c | 938.8$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.79 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 50c | 914.77$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.84 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 49c | 888.98$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Over | 50c | 880.08$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.04 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 22c | 858$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.76 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 841.64$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.4 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 50c | 765.68$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.84 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 50c | 706$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Under | 71c | 694.33$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.33 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 51c | 680.43$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.02 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 27c | 672.58$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.45 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Under | 50c | 653.22$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.61 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 49c | 648.23$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.89 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 54c | 606.57$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 51c | 571.76$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.16 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 8c | 550$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 48c | 535.77$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.6 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 50c | 535.4$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.7 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 27c | 524.68$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.06 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 52c | 505$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.4 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed Over | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 18c | 480.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 475.33$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.91 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 51c | 470.78$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.68 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Over | 51c | 448$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.48 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 425.98$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.25 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Over | 51c | 421.57$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 19c | 412.61$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Over | 52c | 407.69$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 18c | 396$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…85fbbacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 51c | 357.58$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.37 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed Over | 15c | 338.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 49c | 338.31$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.13 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfc…4516backed Over | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Over | 52c | 329.74$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.46 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Over | 18c | 326.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…dee1backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 51c | 299.96$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.98 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68b…c39cbacked Over | 51c | 298.16$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…7800backed Over | 51c | 276.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.57 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 50c | 270.4$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 13c | 244.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Under | 49c | 212.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…bf4dbacked Over | 52c | 211.62$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 24c | 209.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51e…e386backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…a1e1backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +51%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5this page
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 202.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 209.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Dean Wade: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.