TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2061…8ec9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
468
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 66 out of 100 (+0.14 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 66 out of 100; worst World Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT14325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 143 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$7,511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,511.42
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34,894Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+551.3%+$192,361.49
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$408.32
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$1,288.22
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,044Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,399.68
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.31
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12,924Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,924.31
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19,574Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+123.3%+$24,143.08
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,065.98
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$627.68
France vs. England: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.98
France vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.32
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$106,823Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$106,823.17
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,566.51
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,666Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,666.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$6,381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,380.92
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,350.81
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,769Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$4,601.06
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,226Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+216.2%+$4,811.95
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+149.6%+$550.34
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.04
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.11
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,178Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,266.4
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.08
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20,779Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,778.72
Showing 25 of 143 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT13815.9%22 W · 116 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-60.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 138 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.55
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,297Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+91%+$3,000.31
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,396Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$1,025.67
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,982Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+497.2%+$14,828.96
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.33
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.77
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,814Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,814.22
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$541.97
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$5,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,699.99
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.12
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.55
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.55
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$722.14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$789Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$788.8
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$811Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$299.96
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,610.44
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$8,087Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$2,380.06
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$4,767Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,767.19
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$422.19
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.55
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.55
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.55
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.55
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,778Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,777.6
Showing 25 of 138 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT6028.3%17 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32,833Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32,832.78
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,667Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,666.97
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$652.15
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$8,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,210.26
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.97
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$5,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,689.66
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.23
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,022Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$2,421.95
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,433Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+126.5%+$4,344.01
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,816Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,815.92
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$2,066.46
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.52
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$859Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$858.79
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,142.7
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$5,917Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,916.83
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,310.09
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.86
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.42
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.42
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.97
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Cavs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+306.9%+$10,093.27
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,199.78
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.58
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+184.1%+$8,046.7
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$725.85
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT4139%16 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$488.82
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.16
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,121.14
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,777Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,777.4
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,393.09
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,199.88
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,419.44
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,699.73
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,333.2
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,866Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$2,688.62
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,333Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,999.79
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$867Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$866.56
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.25
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,467Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,466.52
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$776Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$948.29
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,089Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,088.68
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$3,532.97
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,555Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$1,888.69
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,333.09
Senators vs. Panthersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,099.79
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,555.3
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,737Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$2,688.98
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.05
Stars vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,387Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$1,611.69
Stars vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,211Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+156.7%+$3,464.41
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.36per pick27cpaid+173.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$226.78
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,345Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+269.7%+$3,626.29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$921Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+187%+$1,721.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34,156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+191.9%+$65,551.26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.66
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,935Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$1,406.74
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,254.58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,741Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,740.58
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13,598Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$6,498.01
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,055Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+1,794.7%+$18,942.54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12,706Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,706.19
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,066.56
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,289Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$3,155.24
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$7,138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+358.8%+$25,613.8
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$524.7
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$772.15
All 16 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-68.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.1
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,949Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,949.37
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.99
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.25
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.08
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13,682Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,681.95
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.22
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.35
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$7,638Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+128.7%+$9,827.9
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$312.31
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,115.97
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.83
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$763.61
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick30cpaid+81%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+61.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-75.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+73.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+307.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+622.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,944Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$4,998.33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,978Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+987.8%+$19,536.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,733Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,933.14
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,178Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,044.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,399.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15,106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$5,577.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,055.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35,595Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35,594.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.