NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9e3d24aaeb9a3cadc276f2696b916d8c9b47b6737c0112d9699899880acda1d

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Spursof Timberwolves, Spurs
Resolved: May 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,811,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,067,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,811,919 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,726 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Spurs	78c	371,939$290,113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81,826.65	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Timberwolves	22c	299,722$64,581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64,581.41	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Timberwolves	20c	201,527$39,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,648.11	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves	20c	142,467$28,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,500	259	25.9%67 W · 192 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Timberwolves	16c	129,986$20,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,151.44	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b4a…8060backed Timberwolves	19c	123,054$22,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,901.95	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Timberwolves	2c	122,117$2,363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,363.32	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe30e…6b87backed Spurs	79c	122,000$96,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,620	8	75%6 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	74cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Spurs	78c	120,000$93,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,399.98	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b8…09e5backed Timberwolves	5c	117,183$6,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,041.11	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Timberwolves	22c	102,273$22,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,500	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xde7b…5f4bbacked Timberwolves	17c	85,681$14,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,568.07	48	25%12 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Spurs	77c	84,117$64,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,346.87	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves	23c	65,217$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs	78c	65,030$50,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,106.93	186	51.1%95 W · 91 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e1…ec43backed Spurs	78c	60,000$46,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,199.97	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Timberwolves	22c	59,091$13,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,000	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+21%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Spurs	78c	55,720$43,341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,379.84	215	49.8%107 W · 108 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Timberwolves	21c	55,000$11,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,549.95	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Timberwolves	23c	49,999$11,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,499.87	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Timberwolves	13c	49,611$6,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,375.79	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0159…db47backed Timberwolves	0c	48,516$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.92	61	4.9%3 W · 58 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…2032backed Timberwolves	22c	44,681$9,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,829.86	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Spurs	79c	42,348$33,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,797.62	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90eb…db79backed Timberwolves	12c	41,325$4,959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,959.02	60	60%36 W · 24 L	+9.2wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked Timberwolves	23c	33,000$7,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,575	120	42.5%51 W · 69 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Timberwolves	1c	32,507$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.21	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfed8…4388backed Spurs	78c	31,830$24,827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,002.55	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.16per pick	59cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Timberwolves	5c	31,096$1,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,408.12	199	37.2%74 W · 125 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Timberwolves	23c	30,067$6,915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,915.43	209	46.9%98 W · 111 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Spurs	78c	30,000$23,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,600	114	47.4%54 W · 60 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Timberwolves	23c	30,000$6,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,900	569	45.3%258 W · 311 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Timberwolves	24c	29,008$6,962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,961.87	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Timberwolves	15c	27,674$4,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,254.98	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Timberwolves	1c	26,026$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	78	21.8%17 W · 61 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Spurs	78c	25,641$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,641.03	86	62.8%54 W · 32 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Timberwolves	23c	24,731$5,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,688.18	151	40.4%61 W · 90 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs	80c	24,080$19,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,883.32	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Timberwolves	22c	24,025$5,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,286.27	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Spurs	78c	23,000$17,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,059.99	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed Spurs	78c	22,547$17,587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,960.3	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed Timberwolves	23c	22,547$5,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,185.77	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd46…6956backed Timberwolves	0c	22,500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Timberwolves	22c	22,222$4,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,888.84	102	44.1%45 W · 57 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Timberwolves	10c	22,220$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,199.78	60	28.3%17 W · 43 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Spurs	77c	22,101$17,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,083.19	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Timberwolves	11c	21,586$2,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,280.59	360	23.1%83 W · 277 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x919e…d215backed Timberwolves	14c	21,430$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000.2	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Spurs	79c	21,384$16,893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,490.68	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Timberwolves	21c	20,886$4,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,385.98	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Timberwolves	13c	20,842$2,665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,664.7	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Timberwolves	22c	20,825$4,582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,581.5	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bf0…728fbacked Timberwolves	23c	20,617$4,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,741.85	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	27cpaid	-42%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Timberwolves	21c	20,000$4,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,199.99	276	45.3%125 W · 151 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Spurs	78c	19,232$15,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,231.01	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+4.2wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38ac…f9b7backed Spurs	79c	18,843$14,886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,957	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Spurs	79c	18,410$14,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,930.25	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs	79c	18,013$14,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,749.35	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Spurs	78c	16,478$12,853 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,625.18	272	41.9%114 W · 158 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Timberwolves	8c	16,000$1,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,287.92	426	40.4%172 W · 254 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Spurs	79c	15,400$12,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,242	105	45.7%48 W · 57 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Spurs	80c	15,005$11,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,011.66	323	51.1%165 W · 158 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf229…098dbacked Timberwolves	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0de8…86eabacked Timberwolves	20c	14,753$2,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,982.54	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Timberwolves	22c	14,000$3,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,079.92	131	48.1%63 W · 68 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Spurs	77c	13,260$10,210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,049.79	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Timberwolves	20c	13,085$2,678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,677.69	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa00…f736backed Spurs	79c	13,002$10,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,730.48	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	67cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Spurs	78c	12,358$9,614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,743.82	373	55%205 W · 168 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Timberwolves	24c	12,045$2,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,887.16	144	46.5%67 W · 77 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc829…cad3backed Timberwolves	21c	12,007$2,572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,571.54	99	37.4%37 W · 62 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d6…5c4cbacked Timberwolves	22c	12,000$2,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,640.02	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd50f…2b9abacked Timberwolves	22c	12,000$2,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,640	147	33.3%49 W · 98 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Timberwolves	13c	11,530$1,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,463.33	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.46per pick	29cpaid	+114.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2911…4581backed Spurs	77c	10,999$8,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,529.77	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+67.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves	13c	10,818$1,383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,382.66	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Timberwolves	24c	10,350$2,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,483.08	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x854a…5e9ebacked Spurs	77c	10,162$7,825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,337.34	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Timberwolves	23c	10,054$2,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,312.49	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Spurs	79c	10,000$7,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,100	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Timberwolves	23c	10,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	374	48.7%182 W · 192 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Spurs	77c	10,000$7,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300	470	43.8%206 W · 264 L	-22.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Timberwolves	22c	10,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	102	36.3%37 W · 65 L	-8.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-25%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Spurs	78c	10,000$7,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,200	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Timberwolves	22c	10,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	158	50.6%80 W · 78 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Timberwolves	22c	10,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Spurs	77c	10,000$7,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,299.99	204	54.9%112 W · 92 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8aa…ae12backed Timberwolves	18c	10,000$1,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,849.99	78	29.5%23 W · 55 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Timberwolves	23c	9,995$2,299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,298.75	305	51.5%157 W · 148 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d03…9e27backed Timberwolves	22c	9,951$2,189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,189.26	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Timberwolves	17c	9,862$1,637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,636.77	621	44%273 W · 348 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1895…efd2backed Timberwolves	13c	9,698$1,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,275	93	46.2%43 W · 50 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Spurs	78c	9,300$7,255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,045.42	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa70c…72f7backed Spurs	77c	9,200$7,084 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,115.99	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.24per pick	59cpaid	+59%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc741…a270backed Timberwolves	22c	9,042$1,989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,989.17	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	+4.1wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Spurs	78c	9,000$7,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,980	433	52.2%226 W · 207 L	+19.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d5…9e7cbacked Timberwolves	22c	8,850$1,947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,947	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf59c…a682backed Timberwolves	22c	8,817$1,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,939.7	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Timberwolves	23c	8,696$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	35cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves	23c	8,500$1,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,955	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Timberwolves vs. Spursthis page
1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event