TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4e93…be55backed Under0c53,330$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.331546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under2c13,776$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.5256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under40c8,077$3,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,201.332,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf70f…3c97backed Over77c6,449$4,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.974276.2%32 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+19.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over77c5,919$4,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.598,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over66c2,442$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.3724159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over59c2,356$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.912,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under43c2,140$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.81,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over59c2,104$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.6119246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Under31c2,014$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.266636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under23c1,916$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.661,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Under18c1,775$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.775829.3%17 W · 41 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under43c1,742$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.1369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under40c1,602$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64561638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under36c1,465$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.1466352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under36c1,292$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.221,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under37c1,267$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.761,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under2c1,218$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.362,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under42c1,174$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.952861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under41c1,104$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45046959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over63c1,100$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.418445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over69c1,055$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.230551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c1,020$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.322,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under31c995$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.4542842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under36c868.84$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.7828643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over69c859.26$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.422,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under45c794$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.051,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa23b…6d59backed Over67c721.06$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.55580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40a2…844fbacked Over67c633.84$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.251330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.511,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed Under37c597.82$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2213141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under6c546.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2145445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over62c533.06$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0628838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under40c496.86$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8536051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under24c407.42$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7825150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over64c385.65$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under45c353.85$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.759255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Over60c344.49$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.715971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Under43c317.07$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1121953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over52c305$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.41,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over66c303.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3152461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over63c301.59$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.596956.5%39 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under33c288.29$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1422656.6%128 W · 98 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79d7…893dbacked Under36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under26c271.5$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3253842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under8c256.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.561151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd25a…7f71backed Under9c200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b67…f13cbacked Over80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405457.4%31 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3048…057fbacked Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9611850.8%60 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7805…1baebacked Over63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743767.6%25 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36ed…4a93backed Under44c192.57$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.733138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe53c…e569backed Under43c190$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.71747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Over71c187.99$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.614446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under43c183.19$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under43c183$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6963746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4642…21d3backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5713555.6%75 W · 60 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under44c158.41$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1325958.3%151 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over64c155.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9713759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Under38c130.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.412040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73ad…fb53backed Over63c119.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.051241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under41c116.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3389048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over59c101.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5560250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5031222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359152.7%48 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511057.3%63 W · 47 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4ac…d058backed Over52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under34c94.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.462,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Under43c93.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9410761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Over64c87.5$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.55347.2%25 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.977940.5%32 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c6e…c234backed Over62c80.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.691872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+28%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee2d…ba67backed Over64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.133865.8%25 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over67c78.05$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3825554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over63c70$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.961253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over62c69$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2247349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Over61c68.74$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.94658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.679660.4%58 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccc4…77cabacked Under24c63.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.462157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee3…58b2backed Under39c63.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.641942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Under42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253834.2%13 W · 25 L-6.3wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over51c56.45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6634255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Over53c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8524936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over64c54.55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6422756.8%129 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c2…8210backed Over63c52.38$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.383167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Over70c51.43$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.439061.1%55 W · 35 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9a9…5c31backed Over63c50.56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.712050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Over65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.153080%24 W · 6 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under36c44.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.911,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Over55c42.31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.896277.4%48 W · 14 L+13.1wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+36.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed Under25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Under41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.48328.9%24 W · 59 L-14.6wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Over63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1513831.2%43 W · 95 L-12.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ef0…d45bbacked Over61c33.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.124257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Over66c32.64$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.13842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked Over60c30.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.153073.3%22 W · 8 L+7.4wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+49.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.340548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under40c29.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1271752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Over63c29.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.115947.8%76 W · 83 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over53c26.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6930842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.