TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-20.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,272
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,999

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,272 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x10d4…69ebbacked Timberwolves19c3,500$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Spurs21c3,132$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,474.2412741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad7f…d0d4backed Timberwolves74c2,351$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.223154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Timberwolves45c2,134$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.6136243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Spurs30c1,785$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.258740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed Spurs20c1,573$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.043141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb48…6ad1backed Timberwolves80c1,560$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.441752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Spurs50c1,389$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.612,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Timberwolves49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008242.7%35 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Spurs53c976.28$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.854254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Timberwolves76c957.35$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.5911946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Spurs23c828.55$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.1112434.7%43 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves50c723.43$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.1369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs53c695.7$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.8652461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Timberwolves80c643.78$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.0366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Timberwolves62c642.83$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010247.1%48 W · 54 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Timberwolves48c596.8$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.461,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Timberwolves5c583$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5624936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Timberwolves5c583$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5678639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Spurs54c561.11$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.1124151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Timberwolves2c517.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0331238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs51c501.12$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.922,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Timberwolves70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Spurs18c470.72$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.311,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Timberwolves79c464.22$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.7364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Timberwolves8c457.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1911329.2%33 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Spurs52c439.23$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.8320946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Spurs19c415.27$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.3771449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…a330backed Timberwolves76c394.12$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003844.7%17 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Spurs23c327.42$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.2212541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Spurs22c323$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.972,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a57…fda1backed Timberwolves79c311.65$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.06520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.47per pick67cpaid-70.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec2d…896cbacked Timberwolves50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e0…ffbebacked Timberwolves70c281.75$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.233246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Spurs41c243.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1922844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Timberwolves79c200$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15812454.8%68 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Timberwolves32c168$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5180440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Timberwolves49c160.1$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4534852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs54c158.95$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1252861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.51,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20c4…d5a1backed Timberwolves70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves74c142.03$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.998,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Spurs54c140.77$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2446959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Spurs47c140.41$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.421,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Timberwolves78c128.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.112040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Timberwolves78c125.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.291,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Spurs13c115.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3976653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Timberwolves79c112.47$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.761,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Timberwolves31c110$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3413831.2%43 W · 95 L-12.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8ff…479fbacked Timberwolves49c101.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.561250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7022…dfa0backed Spurs20c100.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+368.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Timberwolves75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7534169.5%237 W · 104 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Timberwolves36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.913036.2%47 W · 83 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Timberwolves50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011057.3%63 W · 47 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs34c99.78$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6960250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Timberwolves80c77$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.68348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Spurs18c70.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.781,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Timberwolves73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5048948.5%237 W · 252 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1529…ba87backed Timberwolves73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Spurs50c60.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.45332.1%17 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Spurs53c60.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3845542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Spurs40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3628056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Timberwolves78c58.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.877353.4%39 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs18c56.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Spurs52c56.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9210761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1833…cc31backed Spurs27c55.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.567549.3%37 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed Spurs29c51.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.163444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Spurs20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Spurs54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.061,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f18…2080backed Timberwolves66c49.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9924850%124 W · 124 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b79…6a80backed Spurs33c42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1814740.8%60 W · 87 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Timberwolves79c41.28$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.420240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Spurs57c40.25$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4121953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Spurs50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2040548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bf6…4a06backed Timberwolves50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfee3…58b2backed Spurs51c38.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.891942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bfc…8eb3backed Spurs40c38.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8313947.5%66 W · 73 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Timberwolves50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189941.4%41 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Spurs49c29.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2971752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf3…8f91backed Timberwolves76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs51c26.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.851,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf09d…d23fbacked Timberwolves47c25.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0910651.9%55 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Timberwolves79c25.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8814150.4%71 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Spurs58c23.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0459255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee9…f7acbacked Timberwolves69c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.810150.5%51 W · 50 L+10.1wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6b9…b487backed Timberwolves78c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.63650%18 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ca0…a4fcbacked Timberwolves75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155151%26 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1842…9418backed Timberwolves80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Timberwolves74c16.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.989157.1%52 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.