NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-20.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e65fe377e01e8ba9eef45e37afdc6c494534fd58c53fdff2a3b3bd1fdade444
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Timberwolves | 19c | 3,500$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Spurs | 21c | 3,132$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.24 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Timberwolves | 74c | 2,351$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.22 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 2,134$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.61 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Spurs | 30c | 1,785$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.2 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Spurs | 20c | 1,573$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.04 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…6ad1backed Timberwolves | 80c | 1,560$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Spurs | 50c | 1,389$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.61 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Spurs | 53c | 976.28$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.85 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Timberwolves | 76c | 957.35$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.59 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Spurs | 23c | 828.55$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.11 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves | 50c | 723.43$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.13 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs | 53c | 695.7$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.86 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 643.78$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.03 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Timberwolves | 62c | 642.83$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Timberwolves | 48c | 596.8$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.46 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Timberwolves | 5c | 583$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Timberwolves | 5c | 583$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Spurs | 54c | 561.11$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.11 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Timberwolves | 2c | 517.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 51c | 501.12$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.92 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Spurs | 18c | 470.72$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.31 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Timberwolves | 79c | 464.22$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.73 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Timberwolves | 8c | 457.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Spurs | 52c | 439.23$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.83 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Spurs | 19c | 415.27$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.37 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…a330backed Timberwolves | 76c | 394.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Spurs | 23c | 327.42$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.22 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Spurs | 22c | 323$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.97 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…fda1backed Timberwolves | 79c | 311.65$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 67cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…896cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Timberwolves | 70c | 281.75$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.23 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Spurs | 41c | 243.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.19 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Timberwolves | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Timberwolves | 32c | 168$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Timberwolves | 49c | 160.1$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Spurs | 54c | 158.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c4…d5a1backed Timberwolves | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 74c | 142.03$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Spurs | 54c | 140.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Spurs | 47c | 140.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.42 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 128.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Timberwolves | 78c | 125.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Spurs | 13c | 115.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 112.47$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Timberwolves | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -12.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ff…479fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 101.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…dfa0backed Spurs | 20c | 100.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +368.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Timberwolves | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Timberwolves | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs | 34c | 99.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Timberwolves | 80c | 77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Spurs | 18c | 70.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Timberwolves | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 489 | 48.5%237 W · 252 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1529…ba87backed Timberwolves | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Spurs | 50c | 60.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Spurs | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Spurs | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Timberwolves | 78c | 58.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 18c | 56.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Spurs | 52c | 56.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…cc31backed Spurs | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Spurs | 29c | 51.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Spurs | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Spurs | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…2080backed Timberwolves | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 248 | 50%124 W · 124 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…6a80backed Spurs | 33c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Timberwolves | 79c | 41.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Spurs | 57c | 40.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Spurs | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf6…4a06backed Timberwolves | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed Spurs | 51c | 38.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Spurs | 40c | 38.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Spurs | 49c | 29.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…8f91backed Timberwolves | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 51c | 26.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09d…d23fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 25.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Timberwolves | 79c | 25.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Spurs | 58c | 23.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b9…b487backed Timberwolves | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…a4fcbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…9418backed Timberwolves | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Timberwolves | 74c | 16.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-20.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.