NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84a6ded6041dbe9e3451f51685821c1a18ca929b16466d2a64586dff2eab41dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 2c | 55,783$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.95 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 12,268$7,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,577.17 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 22c | 9,336$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.23 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 8,609$3,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,804.99 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 70c | 7,123$4,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.37 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 14c | 6,872$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.99 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 5,865$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.29 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 4,577$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 1c | 4,494$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 36c | 4,009$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.91 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 45c | 2,729$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.02 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Over | 56c | 1,984$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.93 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 47c | 1,924$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.79 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 41c | 1,793$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.9 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 56c | 1,782$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.69 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a54…7c49backed Over | 55c | 1,610$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.7 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 53c | 1,591$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.2 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 39c | 1,542$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 2.5%2 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7410…2a73backed Under | 52c | 1,491$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6947…d21bbacked Over | 56c | 1,484$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Over | 55c | 1,242$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.81 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 7c | 1,108$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.07 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 5c | 1,090$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 47c | 1,072$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.82 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 58c | 1,041$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.74 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 70c | 1,020$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.21 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 56c | 991.07$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.07 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 44c | 911.29$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.97 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 44c | 901.53$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.67 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5265…8184backed Over | 62c | 771.18$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.01 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Under | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 57c | 701.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.97 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2268…05bdbacked Over | 56c | 683.41$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.7 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 13c | 630.02$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.14 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Over | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 45c | 498.17$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.38 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 60c | 458.59$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.67 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 7c | 449.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 55c | 420$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Under | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Under | 4c | 397.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 55c | 382.91$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.91 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 45c | 344.62$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.08 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 44c | 340.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 55c | 274$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Over | 55c | 264.2$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.89 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Under | 19c | 250.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Under | 43c | 235.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.21 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 44c | 205.85$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.57 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…e326backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…2c38backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ac…d058backed Over | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Over | 75c | 199.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 296 | 65.5%194 W · 102 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 71c | 191.06$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed Under | 46c | 190$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…e26abacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…7db3backed Over | 57c | 180$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb19…9a2abacked Over | 54c | 179.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…38c2backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…982cbacked Over | 76c | 169.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…ea68backed Under | 46c | 147$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Over | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 44c | 136.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 19c | 134.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 55c | 134.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 65c | 129$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 76c | 120.92$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Under | 45c | 112.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Under | 45c | 111.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Under | 45c | 111.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb8…8489backed Over | 55c | 103.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 355 | 32.4%115 W · 240 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over | 56c | 98.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 44c | 98.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 346 | 61.6%213 W · 133 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 38c | 88.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 58c | 88.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 49c | 79.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 221 | 43.4%96 W · 125 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…167fbacked Over | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445b…cc32backed Over | 56c | 76.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 47c | 74.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 41c | 73.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…0f76backed Over | 49c | 71.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 64c | 68.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.