TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,661 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under54c20,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,20016547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c19,896$9,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,238.81,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over29c7,997$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.242,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under72c4,858$3,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.3326337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04032846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.714556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Under50c3,400$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.994362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over31c3,291$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.678,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under71c2,523$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.622,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over23c1,990$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.7956646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over51c1,759$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.9963746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under74c1,684$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.11,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over50c1,530$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76561638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under52c1,513$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.3627463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over51c1,375$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.5369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over44c1,022$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.5846959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50020744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over3c999.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4931222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over51c905.62$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.8752861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over45c877.92$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.736051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over17c852.49$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over36c794.95$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.652461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ca…fb01backed Over49c758.67$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+36%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over39c592.67$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.620946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over51c579.71$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.6525150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over51c520$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.218557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over39c464.69$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.6921953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Under76c439.99$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.61643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under61c439.75$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3852150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Under74c407.59$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5916555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…7f9bbacked Over25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa543…9a38backed Under77c399.98$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9312539.2%49 W · 76 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over50c382$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.41,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53c…e569backed Under52c380$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.41747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over29c355$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.552,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over33c348.42$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8459255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over41c309$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.422,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over29c304.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6853842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec2d…896cbacked Under50c299.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1507944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Under75c267.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0611261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Under54c228.17$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.176051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b8d…6724backed Under80c220$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4423140.3%93 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over49c205.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72fc…b1fbbacked Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4e…eadfbacked Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.315337.7%20 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over39c185.78$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3424159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4427745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f1…35f8backed Under60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685763.2%36 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3824backed Under56c169.36$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8215149.7%75 W · 76 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba28…fa8fbacked Over23c163.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.593026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0afd…9fdebacked Under65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over34c147.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1425958.3%151 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Under55c145.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.382564%16 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over15c144.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3360250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under79c127.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3623445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under76c107.14$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6233556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb267…5f55backed Over45c106.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over50c104.29$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd57d…590ebacked Under79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2113560%81 W · 54 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeee6…cbfebacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under52c99.44$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7313850%69 W · 69 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89b…3c2bbacked Under54c94.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.543542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Over43c92.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8510761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x24a3…7c66backed Over29c86.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under51c80.21$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6822143.4%96 W · 125 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ac…e166backed Under76c78.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9518757.2%107 W · 80 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Over22c78.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.553842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Over25c77.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1927539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Under59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.820650.5%104 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Under74c65.02$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.912040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under72c55.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5822656.6%128 W · 98 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c35…3f6dbacked Under55c54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.09966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over28c53.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.95048%24 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over37c52.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4125554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3368…2079backed Over28c51.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.342326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-32.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8105…a0a5backed Under55c51.11$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over52c47.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.574645.7%21 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Over44c43.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.327949.4%39 W · 40 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Under72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6710861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xccc4…77cabacked Over26c41.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.632157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1247349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.659650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb74f…d843backed Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186250%31 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under50c39.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6920247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec5…6093backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe743…ce0fbacked Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.815234.6%18 W · 34 L-8.5wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-33.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under75c35.97$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8214464.6%93 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over39c33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8745251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Under54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over40c29.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1271752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under76c26.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.245147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked Under71c26.02$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.533073.3%22 W · 8 L+7.4wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+49.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1496…e155backed Over55c25.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.996369.8%44 W · 19 L+9.1wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under76c23.92$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8419360.1%116 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1a…8984backed Under59c21.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.775540%22 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under68c18.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9611364.6%73 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Under56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.