NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9e8563391f597a2543dc07ce834c733537ba6a4beff52257a33c44fef93976e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Spurs | 58c | 75,153$43,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,688.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Spurs | 58c | 16,644$9,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,990.41 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Timberwolves | 42c | 16,601$6,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,972.45 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Spurs | 50c | 12,948$6,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,474.91 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves | 50c | 11,729$5,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,854.3 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 10,152$4,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,321.42 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Timberwolves | 42c | 9,996$4,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,198.22 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Timberwolves | 42c | 9,595$4,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,070.47 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Timberwolves | 45c | 6,434$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.19 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 6,190$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Spurs | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Timberwolves | 42c | 5,952$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Timberwolves | 42c | 5,667$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Timberwolves | 24c | 4,772$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.23 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Timberwolves | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Spurs | 52c | 3,060$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.24 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 47c | 3,060$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.15 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Timberwolves | 43c | 2,837$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.9 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 29c | 2,774$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…fcc9backed Timberwolves | 44c | 2,562$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Timberwolves | 5c | 2,495$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.87 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 2,463$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Timberwolves | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Spurs | 56c | 1,528$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.66 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Timberwolves | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 1,465$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.3 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Timberwolves | 44c | 1,379$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.02 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Spurs | 78c | 1,283$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.61 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Spurs | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Spurs | 57c | 973.68$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.68 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 57c | 869.12$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.53 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Timberwolves | 44c | 858.32$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.62 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves | 43c | 761.62$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Timberwolves | 21c | 737.64$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.78 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Timberwolves | 27c | 676.95$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.9 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 79c | 460.68$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Timberwolves | 41c | 449.33$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.09 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 440$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.94 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Timberwolves | 53c | 371.23$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.19 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Spurs | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Spurs | 56c | 299.97$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Timberwolves | 42c | 257.67$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.22 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Spurs | 52c | 224$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Spurs | 58c | 223.5$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 217.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Timberwolves | 50c | 212.62$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.31 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 210.14$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.31 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Timberwolves | 42c | 203$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Timberwolves | 26c | 196.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…b8f3backed Spurs | 57c | 193.26$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Spurs | 58c | 191.38$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.38 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…1b16backed Spurs | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Spurs | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 169.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3428…61e2backed Timberwolves | 8c | 153.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…0b24backed Spurs | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Timberwolves | 44c | 115.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…b9b3backed Timberwolves | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Spurs | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Spurs | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 93.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Timberwolves | 44c | 92.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Timberwolves | 44c | 92.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f5a9backed Spurs | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Timberwolves | 43c | 76.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Timberwolves | 20c | 76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 77c | 73.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Timberwolves | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Spurs | 56c | 70.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc4…77cabacked Timberwolves | 40c | 62.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…f2a9backed Spurs | 55c | 54.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Spurs | 57c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Spurs | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Timberwolves | 21c | 51.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs | 79c | 50.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked Spurs | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -12.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Spurs | 57c | 48.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed35…84fbbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 43.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Timberwolves | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…2d95backed Spurs | 58c | 43.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Timberwolves | 52c | 42.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Timberwolves | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Spurs | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…ce0fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Spurs | 55c | 35.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Spurs | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Spurs | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…815ebacked Spurs | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Spurs | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 57c | 34.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Timberwolves | 38c | 33.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 46 | 84.8%39 W · 7 L | +13.1wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Timberwolves | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Timberwolves | 41c | 32.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Timberwolves | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Timberwolves | 42c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Timberwolves | 42c | 28.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.