TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,862
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,583

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,862 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Under26c13,443$3,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,554.72,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over75c6,003$4,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.532,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over74c3,009$2,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.4336243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54011946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over71c1,951$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.7726337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over52c1,611$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.3927463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under31c1,561$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.0436051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under30c1,554$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.1228643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under29c1,319$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.911,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over79c1,253$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.2718853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under24c1,071$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.912,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under28c939.89$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.011,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under20c810.17$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over75c794.7$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.716555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under32c762.42$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.971,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over72c643.82$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.1152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Under32c564.46$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.554057.5%23 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under30c540.59$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7859255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Under15c490$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.55829.3%17 W · 41 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Under28c431.93$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1921953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9101…78ddbacked Over78c428.77$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.332871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over70c424.33$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.324159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed Under29c391.45$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.993141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53c…e569backed Over52c380$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.41747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Over68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.653650%18 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over78c363.58$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.351,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Over72c362.06$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.069558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under32c341.81$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.473,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over70c327.01$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2353842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over68c322$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f8…a031backed Over70c302.8$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over73c302$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5418445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over74c270.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2852461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…a330backed Over75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.673844.7%17 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over72c263.61$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6133258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd64e…4fb2backed Over77c257.92$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.32540%2 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick74cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf13d…afc3backed Over79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.162462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under30c250.7$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2120247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over70c214.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4113759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4589…5ea9backed Over72c205.28$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.486051.7%31 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa712…982cbacked Over76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484261.9%26 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7805…1baebacked Over71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583767.6%25 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf268…ab74backed Under30c193.33$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583151.6%16 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee3…58b2backed Under25c193.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.521942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e4…6f6bbacked Over75c171.11$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.981957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f30…eeb6backed Over76c169.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.81145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under29c169.31$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.14751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under32c159.59$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8325958.3%151 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over73c153.42$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.425246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under25c146.11$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5322656.6%128 W · 98 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ae4…04a7backed Over76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under34c127.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4889048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb768…37dabacked Over72c114.5$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.141855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Under29c101.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.489941.4%41 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under28c101.62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over71c100.7$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.241556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over71c100.47$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2425554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7970…eccabacked Under31c97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.072560%15 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Under26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253834.2%13 W · 25 L-6.3wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over72c89.7$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.533556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1301…2cf7backed Over71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.511573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ac…e166backed Over71c83.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9218757.2%107 W · 80 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under30c81.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3829243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over73c72.81$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6639449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Over70c70.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9912149.6%60 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xccc4…77cabacked Under20c70$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.292157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3368…2079backed Under30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.32326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-32.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a20…ae0fbacked Over74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.571283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under15c67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0545445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over71c66.96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3296956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3217…7d40backed Over70c62.86$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.862254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.242348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under32c58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5247349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b85…c314backed Over70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.141668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4175…87a0backed Over71c55.04$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.049652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d4…523cbacked Under31c55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.051136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-22.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over73c54.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9710861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Over70c53.9$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.917660.8%107 W · 69 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under30c52.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6321046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a9…5c31backed Under29c50.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.552050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadae…bc30backed Over73c47.68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over75c46.59$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.797062.9%44 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Over62c45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.124936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over63c45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7dd…12f0backed Over73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over70c40.93$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.211,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ead…4cb2backed Over73c40.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.924146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed9f…4992backed Over74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Under29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.640048.3%193 W · 207 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63b9…94a3backed Over71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick69cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Over68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.813831.2%43 W · 95 L-12.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under27c39.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7642842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed35…84fbbacked Over77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…e6d8backed Over77c38.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.783063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under29c38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0245251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad61…5a26backed Over70c37.87$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.36966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked Over77c33.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.673073.3%22 W · 8 L+7.4wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+49.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Over63c33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2113036.2%47 W · 83 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Over63c33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2111329.2%33 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.