TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf13d…afc3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$1,289.36
Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,174.6
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$750
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$1,745.9
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,846.15
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$3,101.83
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$2,242.17
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$941.18
Norway vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,539Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$689
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$538.46
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$666.67
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$1,724.14
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$541.67
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$74.08
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$1,181.55
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$27.22
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.88
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$648.88
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$255.56
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$815.79
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$449.28
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$149.35
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$515.15
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$132.91
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$377.41
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$25.25
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$347.46
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.05
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$246.27
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$818.18
All 7 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+60.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$269.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$261.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.