Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7fb9d07e3f3de40be7102dfe8e806e5a41fae2f49c8b91260c56a371f002962
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,689,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,743,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,689,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 635 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 80c | 146,969$116,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,027.79 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 80c | 118,612$94,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,722.32 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 80c | 108,127$86,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,666.13 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 20c | 84,993$16,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,998.69 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked No | 4c | 79,336$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.13 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 17c | 75,355$12,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,470.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 19c | 69,041$13,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,166.55 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 20c | 67,486$13,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,658.61 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed No | 20c | 58,750$11,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 16c | 51,617$8,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,412.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 20c | 50,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 1c | 49,920$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 80c | 49,777$39,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,070.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 20c | 46,500$9,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,365 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 20c | 42,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.97 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 8c | 36,392$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.26 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed No | 21c | 31,059$6,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,522.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 21c | 29,157$6,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,106.31 | 1,691 | 45%761 W · 930 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…1ad1backed Yes | 79c | 25,763$20,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,511.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 21c | 25,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.99 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 12c | 23,259$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.26 | 480 | 30.6%147 W · 333 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 6c | 21,858$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e6…584bbacked No | 20c | 21,080$4,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,216 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 80c | 17,926$14,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.93 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 20c | 17,677$3,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,535.39 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…2e9fbacked No | 20c | 17,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 21c | 16,886$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.92 | 731 | 51.7%378 W · 353 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 20c | 16,696$3,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,334.88 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 21c | 15,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ca…7895backed No | 19c | 13,800$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca64…4f43backed Yes | 75c | 13,307$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…d2b1backed Yes | 79c | 12,658$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…8f1abacked Yes | 79c | 11,766$9,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c80…08ffbacked No | 21c | 10,506$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked Yes | 77c | 10,099$7,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 20c | 10,058$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked No | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.96 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 21c | 8,877$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.19 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 20c | 8,600$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…e424backed No | 20c | 8,512$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 20c | 8,397$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.9 | 671 | 45.6%306 W · 365 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 2c | 8,123$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 15c | 7,092$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.95 | 860 | 32.7%281 W · 579 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5e…185ebacked Yes | 80c | 7,077$5,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 21c | 7,032$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.01 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…ab1cbacked Yes | 79c | 6,329$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ab…d7a7backed Yes | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 21c | 6,250$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…83a8backed No | 11c | 6,188$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6876…8dc9backed Yes | 76c | 6,041$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Yes | 80c | 6,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 79c | 5,403$4,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.78 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be2…91a0backed Yes | 80c | 5,400$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd260…9fd5backed No | 20c | 5,334$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.98 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 77c | 4,832$3,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.36 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…17c2backed Yes | 80c | 4,800$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…8a83backed No | 19c | 4,768$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 9c | 4,492$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.63 | 514 | 42.2%217 W · 297 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa462…7b59backed No | 2c | 3,972$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…13d2backed Yes | 80c | 3,765$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 80c | 3,750$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c2…5741backed Yes | 80c | 3,676$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…4d74backed Yes | 79c | 3,326$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Yes | 80c | 3,299$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.88 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 22c | 3,273$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.66 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Yes | 76c | 3,252$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24e…1be8backed No | 21c | 3,000$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes | 80c | 2,894$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 21c | 2,729$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed No | 20c | 2,707$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.4 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…4c5abacked Yes | 78c | 2,700$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 75c | 2,668$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Yes | 77c | 2,504$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…9099backed Yes | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed Yes | 77c | 2,487$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 76c | 2,456$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.77 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7997…5e4bbacked Yes | 79c | 2,450$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 21c | 2,325$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.4 | 572 | 51.7%296 W · 276 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…3da9backed No | 21c | 2,250$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb3…04dbbacked Yes | 79c | 2,148$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked No | 33c | 2,140$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Yes | 80c | 2,096$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…0f06backed Yes | 73c | 2,021$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked Yes | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 1,992$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.41 | 2,564 | 39.8%1,020 W · 1,544 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 21c | 1,914$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.88 | 274 | 45.3%124 W · 150 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e7…39a0backed No | 20c | 1,804$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 14c | 1,779$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.11 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes | 80c | 1,738$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.7 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…3b25backed Yes | 80c | 1,738$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…c950backed Yes | 79c | 1,708$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9ba2backed Yes | 80c | 1,688$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…9978backed No | 20c | 1,600$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28?this page
- Will FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-08-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.