TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x087d…b872

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: WNBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,725Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+911%+$24,825.42
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13,617Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,616.77
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.25
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,779.53
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$8,214Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$3,718.28
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23,112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$33,259.29
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+101%+$103.01
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,939Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,719.19
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13,634Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$7,006.2
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.21
France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37,049.64
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$25,000
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38,610Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$60,389.82
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$98.4
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,715Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$2,710.6
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.12
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,819Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,819.21
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23,690Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11,148.02
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15,605Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$7,049.83
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$9,428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,428.23
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$39,000
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.02
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25,748Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,748.44
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,160
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.04
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,982.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17,804Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$27,846.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,289.96
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11,081Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$9,229.1
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$965Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,004.66
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10,098Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$22,476.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.39
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.65
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,000.08
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$8,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,345.9
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$9,245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$12,255
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,015.67
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29,713Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29,713.32
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21,013Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$21,013
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFirebacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+121.4%+$316.47
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,628Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$1,912.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,162
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$55.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,050Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,050
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16,126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17,469.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+237.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,434Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$10,547.45
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,465Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,465
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$5,781.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealandbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$1,225.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17,709Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$23,474.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,293Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+107.4%+$1,388.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,506Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8,949.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.