Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d3e5102bd59f05398b0737a4680758ec730885e6a0384725d327b38bd94eb22

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,093,448
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,040,882

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,093,448 — the venue’s figure.

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Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 696 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	80c	188,382$150,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150,121.77	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No	8c	140,000$11,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128,839.91	107	40.2%43 W · 64 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked No	8c	88,636$7,402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81,233.74	190	37.4%71 W · 119 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No	10c	82,792$8,149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74,643.25	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e52…44e7backed Yes	1c	80,900$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$836.6	84	42.9%36 W · 48 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed No	8c	45,481$3,515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,966.39	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.53per pick	13cpaid	+973.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed No	7c	39,750$2,876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,874.02	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No	14c	39,268$5,311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,957.32	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed No	8c	38,428$2,931 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,497.51	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+3.4wins	+0.12per pick	5cpaid	+141.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	17c	30,358$5,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,233.02	460	47.2%217 W · 243 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed No	7c	30,000$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,899.99	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed No	10c	27,550$2,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,825.42	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	14c	25,115$3,544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,570.97	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes	53c	24,969$13,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,201.65	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	18c	23,571$4,238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,332.35	219	58%127 W · 92 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed No	11c	21,992$2,358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,633.04	122	54.1%66 W · 56 L	+12.8wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes	2c	20,213$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.62	211	41.7%88 W · 123 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked No	9c	20,127$1,884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,242.74	25	76%19 W · 6 L	+3.6wins	+0.15per pick	61cpaid	+52.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	31c	19,238$5,963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,962.56	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed No	10c	18,596$1,868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,728.4	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	28c	16,514$4,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,924.69	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fcc…5f1bbacked No	10c	15,936$1,628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,308.05	109	36.7%40 W · 69 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	60c	15,543$9,308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,235.28	287	31%89 W · 198 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdae8…7c9cbacked Yes	42c	15,534$6,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,501.01	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+3.6wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+67.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed No	54c	14,709$7,878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,831.74	441	30.8%136 W · 305 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	27c	14,300$3,859 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,440.99	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes	21c	14,184$2,972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,971.85	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c23…3d09backed Yes	0c	13,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	27c	12,450$3,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,381.64	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No	8c	12,030$915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,114.7	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x73a7…8ef1backed No	8c	12,000$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,040	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	19cpaid	+94.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	32c	11,834$3,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,779.6	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes	42c	11,500$4,815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,815.29	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No	63c	11,344$7,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,213.38	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	15c	11,340$1,756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,584.39	175	58.9%103 W · 72 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No	33c	10,343$3,419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,923.33	235	40.4%95 W · 140 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4805…6c7bbacked No	10c	10,050$1,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,045	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+2.7wins	+0.15per pick	29cpaid	+68.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	12c	9,793$1,182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,610.88	656	51.7%339 W · 317 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No	50c	9,596$4,822 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,773.79	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Yes	34c	9,172$3,073 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,073.21	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	62c	8,778$5,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,463.84	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4f…81a1backed No	8c	8,190$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,509.89	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	+38.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	10c	8,142$827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,314.44	237	50.6%120 W · 117 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x163f…0d9ebacked No	19c	7,819$1,453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,365.45	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+46.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes	38c	7,504$2,821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,821.18	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2225…24d1backed No	16c	7,467$1,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,292.02	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+2.8wins	+0.35per pick	27cpaid	+282%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xce86…475ebacked No	6c	7,285$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,821.37	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.94per pick	6cpaid	+1,470.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	25c	6,495$1,648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,846.73	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes	31c	6,427$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960.2	296	46.3%137 W · 159 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	43c	5,981$2,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,566.04	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	18c	5,918$1,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,830.19	285	54.4%155 W · 130 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No	47c	5,845$2,744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,100.15	227	31.7%72 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked No	12c	5,757$694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,063.57	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed No	8c	5,750$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,300.6	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed No	8c	5,329$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,887.99	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed Yes	39c	5,200$2,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,041.6	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No	8c	5,000$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,600	214	44.4%95 W · 119 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No	61c	4,979$3,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,923.86	113	38.9%44 W · 69 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f96…e654backed No	11c	4,958$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,432.88	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd134…719bbacked Yes	28c	4,584$1,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,262.5	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No	63c	4,546$2,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,665.42	72	58.3%42 W · 30 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked No	15c	4,458$666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,792.36	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef62…0179backed No	8c	4,400$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,070.01	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+176.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb724…2ccabacked Yes	9c	4,387$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	9c	4,071$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,720.09	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed No	12c	4,060$476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,584.6	199	44.7%89 W · 110 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed No	7c	4,037$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,751.23	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes	31c	4,000$1,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,219.99	292	50.7%148 W · 144 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9efd…ad00backed No	8c	3,953$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,656.53	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.93per pick	8cpaid	+1,233.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed Yes	64c	3,673$2,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,350.81	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No	23c	3,524$793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,730.89	219	46.1%101 W · 118 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	10c	3,435$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,100.05	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9d…74f5backed Yes	23c	3,432$791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$791.19	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No	57c	3,363$1,930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,432.98	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+6.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x62cd…02babacked Yes	30c	3,311$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	20c	3,307$658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,648.74	148	58.8%87 W · 61 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	60c	3,283$1,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,302.63	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed No	10c	3,222$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,909.74	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	6cpaid	+883%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No	30c	3,209$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,259.26	179	53.6%96 W · 83 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb0…bd65backed No	57c	3,068$1,748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,319.92	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd32c…a4c2backed No	8c	3,055$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,821.82	73	52.1%38 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No	11c	3,029$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,691.85	154	55.2%85 W · 69 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18e5…4148backed Yes	35c	3,027$1,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,066.28	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed No	58c	3,000$1,743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,257	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	69c	2,921$2,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$894.03	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes	43c	2,896$1,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,240.23	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	29c	2,861$836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,024.94	648	50.6%328 W · 320 L	-13.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked No	20c	2,762$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,208	263	44.1%116 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed No	73c	2,744$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$743.92	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked No	12c	2,708$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,382.68	669	32.1%215 W · 454 L	+16.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No	17c	2,648$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,188.26	339	37.5%127 W · 212 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No	13c	2,618$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,282.02	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad70…23f1backed No	68c	2,577$1,752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$824.64	19	78.9%15 W · 4 L	+3.9wins	+0.20per pick	59cpaid	+30%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	19c	2,572$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,085.33	282	56.7%160 W · 122 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes	75c	2,561$1,931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,931.26	120	46.7%56 W · 64 L	-11.5wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No	17c	2,470$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,056.99	332	37.3%124 W · 208 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…6fe8backed Yes	41c	2,450$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed No	31c	2,396$752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,644.68	351	36.8%129 W · 222 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…822abacked Yes	28c	2,378$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671	63	31.7%20 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked No	26c	2,375$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,754.26	361	39.1%141 W · 220 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event