TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6727…2ac7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Chess at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT4223.8%10 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$17.33
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.32
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.76
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.22
Will Natus Vincere qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+188.7%+$125.53
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.92
Will BetBoom qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+119.3%+$483.48
Will FUT qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.93
Will 9z qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,894Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+215.9%+$4,090.41
Will The MongolZ qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.14
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$628.63
Will Falcons qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.47
Will Legacy qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$20.47
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.87
Will Monte qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$460.98
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.11
Will PARIVISION qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.38
Will B8 qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.38
Will BIG qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.36
Will B8 qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.23
Will paiN win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
Will Monte qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$109.83
Will paiN qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.8
Will 9z qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.72
Will Astralis qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$224.86
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT329.4%3 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.75
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.39
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,045Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+474.5%+$9,704.4
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$6,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,669.68
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.66
Will Marta Kostyuk be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,647.59
Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.76
Will Jasmine Paolini be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.89
Will Elise Mertens be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.89
Will Félix Auger-Aliassime be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.04
Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,883Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,882.99
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,361.86
Will Grigor Dimitrov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will Madison Keys be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.13
Will Alexandra Eala be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.01
Will Alex de Minaur be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Marie Bouzková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.88
Will Ashlyn Krueger be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Will Belinda Bencic be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.33
Will Hubert Hurkacz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.51
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$236.27
Will Barbora Krejčíková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.81
Will Iva Jovic be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.16
Will Matteo Berrettini be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.49
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Chesslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3212.5%4 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wesley So Win the Sinquefield Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.47
Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu Win the Sinquefield Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$707Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$706.93
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave Win the Sinquefield Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.46
Will Fabiano Caruana Win the Sinquefield Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.11
Will Magnus Carlsen win Titled Tuesday on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.46
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.53
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,598Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+130.6%+$2,087.4
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.72
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$859.74
Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.63
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.82
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+2,113.7%+$1,482.57
Will Hans Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.67
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$309.55
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$203.53
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.78
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.22
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.98
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.76
Will Leinier Domínguez win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.44
Will Wesley So win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.76
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.52
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+129.2%+$48.67
Will Parham Maghsoodloo win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.09
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 SuperUnited Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.49
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick13cpaid+973.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+89.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+52.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$199.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.