Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbdfb5d4c3ec0706d6e1fddd16307ed1732c7d8146d3e20958264a29031d10c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 66c | 3,000$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.73 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 26c | 2,481$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 13c | 1,351$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.54 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…cc2abacked Yes | 37c | 1,178$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 26c | 1,082$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.37 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed Yes | 33c | 1,074$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.84 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…58eabacked No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 34c | 930.99$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.16 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…53c9backed Yes | 34c | 899.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed No | 65c | 881.26$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Yes | 35c | 849.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.92 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5730…891ebacked Yes | 71c | 810$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 33c | 700.58$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.86 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked No | 63c | 700$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01be…7586backed Yes | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…cdcabacked Yes | 34c | 523.04$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 35c | 508.66$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.66 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed Yes | 35c | 489.64$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 34c | 400$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed No | 78c | 348.98$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 36c | 325.22$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.72 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 75c | 291$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 34c | 290$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f48…6f45backed Yes | 35c | 288.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +188.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…4d8cbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 67c | 275.32$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -58%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…09f8backed Yes | 36c | 275.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…bf7ebacked Yes | 38c | 266.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…3239backed No | 66c | 255.71$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 33c | 245.38$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.4 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca6…75dbbacked Yes | 34c | 235.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed No | 66c | 220$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes | 34c | 211.27$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.44 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fa…c63bbacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed No | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 49c | 180$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed Yes | 34c | 154$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…4377backed Yes | 13c | 151.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.17 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252c…d5b4backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…b859backed No | 66c | 135.29$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 62c | 121$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed No | 67c | 119$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 68c | 106.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5536…ade2backed Yes | 35c | 100.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 13c | 100.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 33c | 89.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 33c | 85.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee2…256dbacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 64c | 73.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…bc46backed Yes | 35c | 73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…8616backed Yes | 34c | 69.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +151.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…2ac7backed No | 66c | 68.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 66c | 67.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 64c | 62.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…62aebacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…48c1backed Yes | 32c | 55.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…fa71backed No | 66c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 79c | 39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f26…e28dbacked Yes | 37c | 37.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dc…a6e2backed No | 67c | 36.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…3d0fbacked Yes | 36c | 34.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efa…6ab8backed No | 67c | 33.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…a034backed No | 69c | 33.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 32.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…133cbacked Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdb…253dbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 66c | 28.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 58c | 24.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…def3backed No | 69c | 22.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…930dbacked No | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…9794backed No | 67c | 20.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8601…02ccbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a0…265abacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked No | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?this page
- Will Coventry City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?Yes won
- Will Derby County achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Ipswich Town achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?Yes won
- Will Leicester City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Millwall achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Wrexham achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.