TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x64c4…1018

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
445
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT31953%169 W · 150 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 319 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,959.99
Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+1.5)backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 4 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,590
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$780
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,398Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$1,932.24
Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$570
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$645
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$239.79
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.02
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.66
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,765Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,765.33
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$590
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.89
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+203%+$2,010
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$290.53
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,119.97
Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$750
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,619.98
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$660.11
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,559.97
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,620Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$2,380
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,740.07
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.99
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,240.47
Showing 25 of 319 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$420
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$3,981Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+560.8%+$22,321.31
Alex Baena: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$630.63
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,945Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$1,355.25
Lionel Messi: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+170.4%+$945.2
Lionel Messi: 4+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$106.8
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$109.7
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Alex Baena: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,286Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$563.99
Nicolás González: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.67
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$340
Jude Bellingham: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$709.07
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Anthony Gordon: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$96.05
Manu Koné: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$211.48
Rodrigo de Paul: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Harry Kane: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,380
Lionel Messi: 4+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.59
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.5
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.65
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$283.88
Michael Olise: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$707Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$706.76
Désiré Doué: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$607.73
Désiré Doué: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+83%+$226.8
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2075%15 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+40.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$579.99
Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,160
Bruno Fernandes: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$1,439.98
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)backed Hull City AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,460Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$540
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Hull City AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,570Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$1,430
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$352.79
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$453.94
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$469.97
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$745
Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.99
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$476
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$620
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$276
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$41.56
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$357
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$46.99
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$780
Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.88
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,160
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,286Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$662.58
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,249.96
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,609.92
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,050
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$472.44
RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,019.98
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$22.36
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$242.98
Will Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$116
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$246
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$129
Marcus Rashford: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Ferran Torres: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.87
Robert Lewandowski: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$289.03
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$101.22
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,449.98
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,060
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,060
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$780
Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5)backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$694.02
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$804.99
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$102.32
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baezbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$780
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$339.05
Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baezbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$713.99
Swedish Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$952Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$448
Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$746Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$746.44
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.99
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)backed Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$612
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,005
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$735
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$371
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$552.9
RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,263Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$594.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-07-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,039.98
Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.14
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$643.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.