TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,527
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,527 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Over53c34,602$18,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,262.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under47c14,791$6,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,951.911952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under44c7,236$3,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,183.841080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under47c6,270$2,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,946.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over54c5,652$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.9924349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under47c4,255$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Under47c3,702$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.361764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under46c3,240$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.4850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c3,118$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.981,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over56c2,972$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.611353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under47c2,520$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over56c2,159$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.294143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94052550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over56c1,782$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.082259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over57c1,679$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.622745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c1,223$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.91,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under45c1,200$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.993647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under46c1,134$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under46c1,059$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.4226354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under45c1,023$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.4310145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4606654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under46c900$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4146357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under47c699.92$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.361050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+39.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.451241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under45c457.6$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.9218351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under9c409.55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3813250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Under45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Over54c388.5$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.713050%15 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over56c284.82$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.327149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under46c273.55$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.833336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.731060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over55c270$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.510942.2%46 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over53c261.4$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8610248%49 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c199.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7530448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c196.41$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over55c180.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.413363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over69c163.7$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.26360.3%38 W · 25 L+9.2wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Under45c156.91$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.611145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca2…1d74backed Over54c146.19$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.254100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Under44c124.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.721833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Over54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.23354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20b…3ae4backed Over56c111.91$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c101$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.479553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478250%41 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under45c99.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.996448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under46c96.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.418150.6%41 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Under21c95.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202548%12 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a51…1933backed Under45c90.91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over56c88.11$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.779657.3%55 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under45c86.67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392556%14 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under33c83.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7129637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over78c69.33$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3822854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over77c68.97$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.055662.5%35 W · 21 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+42.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4ad5…b130backed Over56c67.86$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over55c55.62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.031346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9660…ba56backed Over55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under45c54.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3323342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.574254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33dc…ac64backed Over55c51.7$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3216…0cc7backed Under44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Under45c48.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick41cpaid-72.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over56c46.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.433351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Under49c45.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under42c44.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.54544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over55c41.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.829262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over57c40.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.353444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under46c39.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.996051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under30c37.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1259348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.363148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf6…c27dbacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.362259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over55c35.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.23262.5%20 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.713056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f46…1db8backed Over55c32.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.731172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over55c31.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.945354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under46c30.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.225560%33 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.19050%45 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.86850%34 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over55c29.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+63.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd25a…7f71backed Over80c28.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa52…eababacked Over55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…efaabacked Over55c25.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.454100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+106.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over56c20.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2320150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over69c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5714352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.