TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa52…eaba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 60 out of 100; worst Asian League at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.30per pick49cpaid-64.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Asian League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Avispa Fukuoka vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Avispa Fukuoka vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Fagiano Okayama vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.03
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Fagiano Okayama vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Fagiano Okayama vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.58
Urawa Red Diamonds vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.52
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.94
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+68%+$7.47
All 16 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+56.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$34
América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.29
América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.4
CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$31.53
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.13
CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$24.98
CD Cuenca vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-66.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.68
Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.94
Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.68
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+87.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brøndby IF vs. FC København: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.