Bundesliga · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53bce03491e630e5400e14b54dd6d1cf095b8e40c05644ec26e94d3651a44a38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 5,681$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.51 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 66c | 2,413$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.04 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 65c | 2,368$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.8 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 7c | 1,851$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.23 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 64c | 1,833$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.79 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1783backed Over | 65c | 1,236$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Under | 45c | 1,187$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 35c | 1,127$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.11 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 35c | 1,100$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 65c | 999.97$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 65c | 900$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 65c | 899.99$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 36c | 889.63$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.54 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 35c | 619.75$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.22 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Under | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 43c | 419.72$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 37c | 409.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 51c | 406.25$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 36c | 387.81$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.61 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 56c | 350.04$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.71 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 41c | 338$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.58 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 42c | 336.31$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.12 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 36c | 321.51$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.29 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 36c | 319.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 57c | 307.02$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Over | 67c | 299.96$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 289.38$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 5c | 268.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 252.12$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 35c | 212.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 64c | 203.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 44c | 180.06$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.26 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 59c | 168.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 13c | 133.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…16c7backed Over | 64c | 131.25$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 60c | 126.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 65c | 110.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…eababacked Under | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 57c | 87.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 56c | 84.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 66c | 74.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 68c | 73.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 66c | 66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 69c | 64.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 71c | 59.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 59c | 48.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 36c | 42.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 35c | 41.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 39c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 33c | 39.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 66c | 39.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed Under | 37c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 51c | 37.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 36c | 36.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 38c | 34.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…eb5cbacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Over | 63c | 30.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…c51bbacked Over | 69c | 28.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 36c | 28.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Over | 72c | 27.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…632fbacked Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1718…c327backed Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 78c | 22.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 68c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1db…fdb0backed Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…f55dbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.