Bundesliga · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7696a480bd849092cc16b835c179f6d8cd6a754bf2ed51474a3a12db2b9582d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 34c | 3,105$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.34 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 929.45$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.24 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 66c | 681.82$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.82 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 32c | 490.38$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.71 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 34c | 479.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.9 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 33c | 462.14$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.98 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 32c | 441.31$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.48 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5711…fbf5backed Yes | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 65c | 420.6$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Yes | 67c | 393.53$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.3 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 39c | 392.11$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.86 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 62c | 373.84$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.26 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Yes | 65c | 322.33$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.07 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 67c | 317.66$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.83 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 67c | 311.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 68c | 295.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…2712backed Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 68c | 228$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.35 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…60c5backed Yes | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 41c | 194$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.54 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Yes | 59c | 194$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 66c | 163.64$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed No | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 67c | 149.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 78c | 148.67$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Yes | 59c | 145.5$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No | 41c | 145.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 68c | 145$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 33c | 143.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 42c | 137$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 126.72$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…db19backed Yes | 66c | 105.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 33c | 102.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 68c | 89.58$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 34c | 85.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 31c | 81.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed4…8f43backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 69c | 72.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 34c | 70.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…6c15backed Yes | 66c | 70.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 31c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…a77fbacked Yes | 65c | 49.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 33c | 47.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…f9a0backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed No | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80d…480abacked Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 39c | 40.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 65c | 36.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…5a88backed Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…efaabacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes | 65c | 31.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…9588backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4633…48f1backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 39c | 29.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Yes | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…c51bbacked Yes | 71c | 27.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1718…c327backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…bc21backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…1e7fbacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa44…752abacked Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.