TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x23e2…9ecd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
331
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Asian League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 57 out of 100; worst Mls at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12636.5%46 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 126 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.66
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.6
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$253.7
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.83
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$300
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$144
Showing 25 of 126 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT5545.5%25 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+60%+$37.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$45
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$32.57
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$241.79
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.85
AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.96
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.7
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.28
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$58.99
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Córdoba CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$103.9
Will SD Huesca vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Cádiz CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$72.93
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$121.5
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$139.3
Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.14
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$35.26
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.29
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.55
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$64.8
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.49
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$27.6
Will Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$18
AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.61
SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$537.7
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$270.99
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$266.58
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.64
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$6.1
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$34.74
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.51
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.6
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.14
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
All 21 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$32.2
SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
SV Werder Bremen vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$55.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.07
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.69
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$58.71
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.2
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.26
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+99.4%+$64.8
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
All 19 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$109.4
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$48.1
FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$88.5
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$49.7
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Will Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$161.2
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Nantes: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.7
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.33
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.6
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Toulouse FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+79.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+166.1%+$74.9
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.