Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ef95c99b82c9462981801899e96dafa7991033429ac445548dd9b66dc6d4b3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,538 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1642…bbf0backed Over | 66c | 30,305$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,304.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 27,489$8,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,357 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 16,751$5,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,191.25 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 23c | 4,496$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.13 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 3,659$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.89 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 77c | 2,231$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.13 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 71c | 2,200$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 1,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.62 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 1,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 47c | 1,454$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.43 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 72c | 1,384$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.75 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 77c | 1,308$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.84 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 77c | 1,306$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.21 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Over | 78c | 1,297$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.52 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 55c | 1,200$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.47 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under | 46c | 1,021$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…b054backed Over | 50c | 801$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 76c | 749$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.5 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 48c | 699.99$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over | 45c | 699.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 18c | 606.47$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.21 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 32c | 602.96$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.39 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 23c | 575.63$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.64 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c9…28f4backed Over | 62c | 538.71$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 26c | 527.69$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.09 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…ca20backed Over | 58c | 519.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 63c | 462.98$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.61 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 30c | 420.49$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.13 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 46c | 418.34$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.9 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 76c | 407.89$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 77c | 397.4$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 77c | 317.34$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 66c | 300.89$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Over | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Over | 70c | 287.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6c1abacked Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 32c | 223.07$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Under | 39c | 218.21$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 40c | 217$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Over | 51c | 207.19$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 32c | 179.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 62c | 177.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 43c | 171.2$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 64c | 160.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Over | 65c | 150.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb224…fedbbacked Over | 67c | 149.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Under | 38c | 143.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Under | 25c | 140.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 11c | 132.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…c65dbacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 42c | 120.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…06a0backed Over | 53c | 114.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +83%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…3ff3backed Over | 66c | 106.84$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Over | 68c | 103.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…ab92backed Over | 71c | 99.48$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Over | 52c | 96.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…dfc9backed Over | 76c | 81.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 22c | 81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Over | 53c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 24c | 79.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Under | 29c | 77.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…0319backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Over | 66c | 70.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…d02abacked Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…259ebacked Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Over | 46c | 63.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Over | 76c | 62.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Over | 76c | 57.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 76c | 56.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 26c | 55.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 25c | 53.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…e759backed Over | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd985…1125backed Under | 31c | 50.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 34c | 49.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed Under | 35c | 47.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.